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Searched around quite a bit but can't find a direct answer so sorry if this has been dealt with already. In the past I've spread investments across more than one broker to stay within the $500k SIPC insurance coverage, and I'm currently looking to do some consolidating. I know that an...

I will search for that thread and get an education on this. I've searched a lot for that sort of analysis but had difficulty finding anything definitive. My concern was also not having capital in play during up trends which logically is when you'd want the most exposure. Thank you!

Totally agree with the assessment that the market could trade down 50% and then trade sideways for 15+ years. Martingale implies increasing bets on the way down. It's not Martingale, but I see why the comparison is being made. As far as comparing it to past bear markets, the only peak that...

So there are and have been "lots" of occasions where the broad US markets have not recovered at least half of a 50% drawdown.. I need to find these occasions. Seriously, I'm not trying to troll or flame anyone here. It's just a question and I'm looking for an example and not wisecracks to...

Can you find a period of time in history where this would have failed to make money long-term?

Thanks for the response, but doesn't a martingale demand exponential growth of your bets? I'm not necessarily talking about that, just averaging down using pre-set intervals and pre-set amounts. In the example I gave it forces you to always be in the market at about 50% of the full leg down...

I am aware that our markets have not yet recovered their highs from a few years ago. Other markets like Japan's haven't recovered from the 80's. But let's say you have a hypothetical account size - $500,000. Then assume worst case scenario for the US market is a 50% drawdown. I realize we...

I'm noticing 2 exciting things: 1) how little money he's losing by overtrading 2) how little time he has to spend in front of his screen One can argue that he's missing gains with this grind up, but he probably took a lot of gains people missed during the August correction.

Or I guess you can combine all of them and have a whole slew of potential fib buy levels.

I appreciate this method because IMO it's trading the only edge that the everyday non technical/genius/mathematician/HFT/algorithmic trader can rely on - that the markets over time trend UP. It's quite simple, and you know that there are powerful human forces working in the background to make...

Thanks for the response. The reason I ask is because I've found myself using hedges similarly because of the same psychological reasons you mentioned. Also thanks for bringing me out of permanent lurker status!

Since SH is just a short S&P fund, isn't buying shares of it equivalent to selling off some of your SPY position?