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  1. Q

    mark brown said he found the holy grail.

    I didn't listen to the link provided. I did go out to Ann's website - http://barnhardt.biz/ She is eccentric, however, she does have the balls to say some things that ring true.
  2. Q

    mark brown said he found the holy grail.

    Kel08, Holding a losing position in hopes that it will revert can work if the initial deviation was caused by an exogenous shock. Exogenous shocks are usually short term in nature. However, for the market to deviate from its expected path for 4 months is long term. Some fundamental...
  3. Q

    is the US the next Argentina?

    Something is missing in the article on Argentina - "Aided by surging soybean exports and growth in neighboring Brazil, Fernandez used record government revenue to boost spending on public works, raise pensions and provide subsidies to poor families who kept their children in school. That...
  4. Q

    mark brown said he found the holy grail.

    Mark your latest comment was a very broad generalization. I suspect it is related to some sort of mean reverting scenario. It might have some relevance over the course of a day or a week. The prior post described a situation that occurred over a four month period. Market dynamics need to...
  5. Q

    Vol on FAS

    I actually think the volume being reported on Yahoo is correct. What I am puzzled by is that with a reverse 1-5 split - stock went from $10 to $50 - since shares are 5x higher in price - you would anticipate that volume would decline by 5x. This is not the case.
  6. Q

    OpenBookTrader's Open Journal

    Magicwords, Very nice display. The best I have seen. Kudos that you are giving ex ante trades. Can’t say much about your system because you have provided few clues. I personally am not a big fan of orders on the open. Also it seems that you have an extensive universe of stocks to...
  7. Q

    MF Global Customer: My 50$mil account is missing

    Nazzdack, You did a quick read and at first I might have agreed. ""This account is nowhere to be found," said the fund, overseen by Highridge Trading Co. It has been told twice that the account was being transferred, but the transfer never occurred." I am not sure of the veracity of the...
  8. Q

    Another view on education

    This is the same tired tripe that is repeated over and over again. It is not the schools or the quality of the teachers or whatever. It is the culture in which the schooling is taking place that is at fault. No child left behind, multiculturalism, the team – the truth is not allowed...
  9. Q

    Vol on FAS

    On Nov. 10th the FAS did a 1-5 stock split. What is interesting to me is that at least via Yahoo http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=FAS+Historical+Prices volume remained the same or increased. I would have expected it to fall by a substantial amount. Any insight into this would be appreciated.
  10. Q

    Do Coincidences Have Meaning?

    Whatever system you are using you will have winners and losers. The trick – cut loses quick and let winners run. You do this to have the means to stay in the game. Every once in awhile you will hit a gusher just by the fact that you were in the game – luck. Good. But in no way should...
  11. Q

    Could someone explain this with plain English?

    Don't feel bad. I couldn't make much of the YouTube. It is just 40 seconds of something on a computer screen. I think it is suppose to show you all the orders being executed by a HFT program. Bottom line - lots of stuff happening real fast. Personally I think HFT should be outlawed...
  12. Q

    What are your thoughts?

    I don’t mind paying the spread or whatever little dinky things this guy is talking about. What I do mind is groups causing artificial volatility just for the sake of making money, with the volatility having no fundamental justification. The major impetus behind today’s market woes was...
  13. Q

    Trading Principia, and Incoherences in the Art of Trading

    LOL Trading Journal - You have not provided enough information for anyone to give you a meaningful answer. What who have been better is if you indicated what market you were trading, what type of strategy you would use - and then indicates your thoughts on the differences in using different...
  14. Q

    looking for investor or partner

    More detail would be appreciated. I do know where Brazil and China are. They are huge markets. I hope you know that they don't speak Spanish in Brazil, they speak Portuguese there.
  15. Q

    Open Interest Info

    Even if positions are reported overnight it could still be done before the market open. What I would like to know and perhaps Kevin can help - where is the open interest posted before the open?
  16. Q

    Open Interest Info

    Open Interest is usually reported with a one day lag. Does anyone have a leg up on getting this information quicker?
  17. Q

    Can you trade by price action alone?

    Anyone can trade based on price alone. This is the way most neophytes do trade. A more interesting question is whether there is anyone out there that can trade by volume alone? One of the best traders I ever met, for fun, devised a system where he traded via volume alone. He did have to...
  18. Q

    market breadth data trading system - Help please?

    My interpretation. You are developing an index - counter trend - strong - exhaustion indicator. If number or issues + total volume is strongly (>75%) up you will take a short position and visa versa. The rationale being that everyone who wants to buy has already bought. It would be...
  19. Q

    Help needed with probability math

    It would probably be helpful if you considered the concept of variance. Akin to this are the standard deviation and confidence interval. The variance of series I is much larger than series II.
  20. Q

    The Solitary Retail Daytrader's Credo

    The flip to this is that it blows my mind to hear about folks that have every trading gadget you can imagine and they are out there trading 1 contract in something and think it is a big deal when they make $500. Two months ago my brother wanted a new truck. He had $2,500. He went to the...
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