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  1. syswizard

    Question from someone who know absolutely NOTHING about programming

    And could probably implement the testing of a strat, indicator, model about 10x faster than Java using Easy Language or Power Language. Unless you are trading systems with millisecond time-in-trades, today's CPU's can easily keep up with fast market conditions even using scripted languages...
  2. syswizard

    End-of-day historical data

    check out.....https://www.quandl.com/data/WIKI?keyword= That is the free version...there are also other purchase options as well.
  3. syswizard

    When An Option Increases Nearly 9,000%

    It would be interesting to see the performance difference between a directional debit spread vs. a long straddle for pre-earnings announcements. Even if you are only right 50% of the time on the direction, would that surpass a long straddle strategy I wonder ?
  4. syswizard

    Fed's Surprise Rate Cut Before Next FOMC??

    I voted NO. However, some time in 2016, the Fed will be forced to reverse policy and go to ZIRP once again...and then later to NIRP. That's when the "rip your face off" rallies will occur. Until then, you can short all rallies safely. It appears SPX at 1250 is very possible before this occurs...
  5. syswizard

    Options with Interactive Brokers - freely available conId's, for use in automation trading.

    This is only important for traders using the API, correct ?
  6. syswizard

    LinkedIn Iron Condor Gone bad.

    I agree and it was definitely 1 in 1000.
  7. syswizard

    Is there a programmer willing to help me???

    Checking for absolute zero is futile...you need to determine when it changes direction. MyMACD = MACD(Close, FastLength, SlowLength); MyFastAvg = Average(Close, FastLength); If MyFastAvg[1]<MyFastAvg[0] Then Begin GoLong = 1; End; If MyFastAvg[1]>MyFastAvg[0] Then Begin GoShort = 1; End...
  8. syswizard

    UK trader arrested for May 2010 U.S. Stock market flash crash

    That was total B.S. as we all know. Nav spent a ton of money on building and testing that algo. The key was the timing, the layering in the order book, the patterns of reversal orders. It was all well programmed...with the ability to configure it and to override it. THAT'S THE KEY. Nav's may be...
  9. syswizard

    UK trader arrested for May 2010 U.S. Stock market flash crash

    Wow....he was larger than any other player then !! That's the power of having a powerful algo and knowing when and how to use it.
  10. syswizard

    When An Option Increases Nearly 9,000%

    One of the CNBC Fast Money traders, I think it was Dan, went short straddle before the Facebook announcement. That position got hammered.
  11. syswizard

    When An Option Increases Nearly 9,000%

    Agreed, but only backtesting will indicate whether taking a directional approach or a hedged approach is more profitable in the long run.
  12. syswizard

    When An Option Increases Nearly 9,000%

    Of course buying the straddle is another strategy for a situation where there could be an explosive move. Not sure of the profitability of this strategy...would be interesting to see some backtested results. I would guess around a 30-40% win rate at best.
  13. syswizard

    Trader accused of high-speed trading to make millions in 'illicit profits'

    So he's getting only 5 years ? Why did they say Nav could face over 100 years in jail ?
  14. syswizard

    UK trader arrested for May 2010 U.S. Stock market flash crash

    Well, this will be interesting.....have they issued a subpoena for Nav's source code ? If so, I wonder if Nav is going to give them the real code that performed the order layering ? The latter of course would be the most damaging to his case.
  15. syswizard

    MCD - overdone on the upside ?

    Indeed, it's now at the 123 level....the 123 puts got crushed this morning. It's obviously bolstered by the broader market move. However, I think 125 has got to be near a top.
  16. syswizard

    Can algorithmic trading systems beat human traders?

    In many cases, you add a layer of coding to detect these situations. However this does increase the complexity of the algo and a different way to handle this is just be sure to monitor your systems in realtime and shut them down when these situations arise with a "close all positions" button.
  17. syswizard

    UK trader arrested for May 2010 U.S. Stock market flash crash

    I don't think so....as spoofing at the time was not really a chargable offense. Of course Nav signed an agreement with the CME not to spoof, so they can ban him and/or fine him. It'll be interesting to see what Federal authorities come up with.
  18. syswizard

    UK trader arrested for May 2010 U.S. Stock market flash crash

    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/navinder-sarao-didnt-cause-the-flash-crash-study-finds-2016-01-27?dist=afterbell Another take on this. Poor Nav is not out of the woods yet.
  19. syswizard

    UK trader arrested for May 2010 U.S. Stock market flash crash

    Finally, they are coming to their senses. Yep, it's likely the problem related to a data feed issue or huge mutual fund liquidations.
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