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  1. M

    The ACD Method

    Good interview with Rao Paul on Fast Money today btw.
  2. M

    The ACD Method

    So what happened with this quiz? Like two people took it?
  3. M

    The ACD Method

    I added some long soybean exposure today via options. CHK? No way.
  4. M

    Bidding for a job at Goldman Sachs

    He just needs to adjust the dose on his psychiatric medication.
  5. M

    Trading Volume Declines as Hoarding Rises Due to Uncertainty

    Also shorts can't effect the long term price of the index. They had to "sell" first. Meaning they "Suppressed" demand on entry and added to demand on exit. Their net effect is always zero. Shorts "can" effect short term prices but when prices rises due to short squeezes they induce...
  6. M

    Jim Cramer doesn’t beat the market

    His stock was actually trading at that price in 2000.
  7. M

    Jim Cramer doesn’t beat the market

    No, the guy was a good read in the late 90's. Not because he had any uncanny ability to predict the future (who does), but because he had a knack for finding momentum. You still had to do all the hard work yourself but he got me into names I never knew existed. So to that regard, he...
  8. M

    Creating software to predict stock markets

    Honestly I don't even think this would be unique in 1987. LOL. Maybe next he is going to tell us he found a unique way to connect to the internet via dial up modem.
  9. M

    Bidding for a job at Goldman Sachs

    Keep the phone line open. Denny's will be calling shortly. They will throw in discounted meals. And if they make an offer, you would be best to take it.
  10. M

    The ACD Method

    Why do you want to get short? FWIW, the number lines are not bad, they are flat basically saying we have a choppy market. And it turns out, we have a choppy market. I'm guessing I'm just asking if there is something specific you are looking at. As you said we are only 4% off the highs...
  11. M

    Must be nice to be a Clinton

    Her father in law is in prison for fraud as well. What do they say, "birds of a feather flock together".
  12. M

    VIX is close to being undervalued: Cheap way to play it

    This was already discussed. In this "very" thread.
  13. M

    The ACD Method

    Instead of looking at "what" the dollar is doing, try more to focus on "why". It's the causes that are more important then the price.
  14. M

    TD Ameritrade and Think or Swim Option Market Maker Scam

    No, you can't. When your broker sends an order out to the market as a market order, all market makers get a look at the order to see if they want to fill it at better prices. In the case of IB, they can improve the order internally but that is really the same process. Market orders get...
  15. M

    TD Ameritrade and Think or Swim Option Market Maker Scam

    You can default to buy on bid and sell at offer on TOS. And even if you don't set the default, TOS always shows you the mid price. It's been that way for 15 years.
  16. M

    The ACD Method

    Yes but back to the random walk. And this is something I need to maybe put more emphasis on. Let me try to explain this better then I did last time. So efficiency relates to forward expectations. In the pizza example we had a forward expected value of the 20% yield. In the S&P 500 we...
  17. M

    The ACD Method

    Back in my Worldco days all we did was trade surprises. Earnings, earnings revisions, and major news that impacted earnings. Usually in a related name, not in the name itself.
  18. M

    The ACD Method

    OK, that didn't turn out so well. Baron changed the format so highlighting your text doesn't work that well, I'll post my response here that follows in order your questions. "justrading, post: 4280063, member: 262807"]I actually believed it was quite the opposite, the hypotheses that is...
  19. M

    The ACD Method

    My answers are above in bold. I honestly think you are hung up on terminology and trying to apply a very strict orthodoxy to the meaning of these words.
  20. M

    Call Out Your Potential Option Trade and Let's Discuss it

    I said it looked like he bought the calls and sold the stock meaning he was really buying synthetic puts to get short on top of a strong rally in oil. Good trade if that is what he did.
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