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Just curious, how's the average winner ratio of your weekly bearish calls? I remember you frantically begged longs to get out before we "crash much further" at the exact low of the spooz @ 1370.

The question is... Even if this were a secular bear market.. I know for a fact many people just want to be right in their macro analysis and will get their a** handed because they don't know jack about money management. How many were right at the wrong time in 1997, 1998 and 1999 and got wiped...

You are charged the ANNUAL INTEREST rate differential between the currency you're short and the one you're long. I am not sure what the carry is between CAD and USD but I doubt it's not 6% annually and definitely not MONTHLY! Of course, it can also mean you could receive interest depending on...

Probably a small recession could be healthy, clearing out excess speculation and also weak participants/companies across all industries. The thing is IMO - just like inflation - once you are in a recession it's extremely hard to get out of it, once it starts feeding on itself. I guess the US...

I didn't know Faber is now a famous super rich investor. I'd count Rogers in but not Faber, not by a longshot. Faber is on Bloomberg on ever 5% SP500 dip in the last 5 years and I heard him say the same sentences every time, in his custom Swiss accent: - "Well, I can very well imagine we...

A broken clock is bound to be right once in a while.

Talk about moral hazard :D

Awesome! Better than any hedge fund 12% pa!!! I love risk free $$$

We're in a secular bear market, anybody long is delusional, anybody staying short will be rewarded. Many millionaires will be made in the next downswing and it won't be on the long side. :p

No. Most brokers use 1:50 margin for forex. So shorting $35k worth of USD will use 2% margin = $700 margin.

Of course this is just light volume short covering, I am staying short 200% in all my accounts. No stops needed, this market is done and will shed 80% till Spring 2008. Risk free $$$ just gotta have the balls to collect it.

Short put credit spread e.g. on the SPY -> http://www.poweropt.com/bpspreadhelp.asp

It's kinda funny to see how quickly the bears that laughed into stock_trad3r's face have disappeared :p Congrats again on those solid gains, ST.

http://www.ninjatrader.com Free if you just use the charts.

If you're so much smarter than the market, why not just short TIPs? You'll make a fortune if you're right and inflation expectations are grossly understated!

Oh now it's the Chinese manipulating US inflation? Reading ET, I always thought the US government manipulates and intentionally under reports inflation alone. Maybe the FED and Chinese entered a secret pact :confused:

And I thought hedge funds were dead money and anybody investing needs to get their heads checked :confused:

So when does a mediocre trade like myself spot the once in a lifetime chance to finally get rich shorting American stocks? When we're down 5%, 10%, 15%, 20%? When do I know "this is armageddon finally" and go all out short and just sit on my shorts for a year or two without stops and watch...

Sam Zell On The Credit Crisis: It's Not That Bad Knowledge@Wharton 09.21.07, 12:00 PM ET Master real estate investor Sam Zell has built a fortune on the cycles that shape his industry. These days, he believes the current turmoil in financial markets is more an emotional reaction to another...