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  1. J

    Trader28 informational thread

    The attached was posted in the thread (As stated and cited) you subsequently moved to chit chat. Start with this attachment. The trading rules are in the middle in color. The Universe is posted frequently in the threads previously mentioned to you. Likewise, the Universe selection is coded...
  2. J

    Trader28 informational thread

    Here is a similar runnning commentary condensation from a thread moved to chit chat by a moderator; see attachment.
  3. J

    Is it possible to achieve the right state of mind for trading?

    Trading with sports memory is kinda nice. You named this talent or aptitude "IT". Experience unfolds over time. Some people add to their experience and others repeat the same old.... Knowledge and skills come from experience when having experiences is focused and purposeful. Trading...
  4. J

    3 Black Swans

    I'm link challenged, sorry. Here is a version of that chart with an additional annotation. I feel these times are unique in trading history (At least the last 50 years of my experience) but as you can see there is a symmetry exhibited by what I anticipate. The axis is OCT07 and I peg the...
  5. J

    When in trouble, double; are you averaging down (long on stocks)?

    When you figure out something write it down. Pause. And do the opposite. You are the George Costanza of trading according to your posting record.
  6. J

    Technical or Fundamental?

    Your world may be doing the insistent thing you describe. Where I am, I have never noticed the black and white separation you describe. Read "Flat Land"
  7. J

    3 Black Swans

    These three are going to happen. Furthermore, there will be several other major happenings along the Black Swan lines. From about JUN 06, as many debt factors decelerated into illiquidity and reporting requirements were not fulfilled, there began a domino effect. It is now far ranging and...
  8. J

    why is the VIX dropping?

    You will find that the market data feeds in raw data and CW indicators are dealing with a context that has not occured in the history of the financial industry. This composite (all these degrees of freedom) Are being subjected to two major NEW influences: Economic dominance shifting and the...
  9. J

    Automated Chart Pattern Recognition

    For some reason or other most pattern recognition is reactionary, meaning it is a history report that follows a past opportunity. The patterns which are anticipatory for entry to making money (CW approaches and otherwise) are not tabulated on pattern recognition analytical type software. It...
  10. J

    Dumb money contrarian signal

    Then there is the Babak offset (about 50 business days, usually)...hehe... It may be on a par with CNBC these days...
  11. J

    Follow trend or look for reversal?

    There are a lot of CW type traders in ET. As I observe, they generally look for opportunities to make money. These opportunities are determined to be acceptable based on back testing (without curve fitting). The potential for sucess is determined by using odds (probability). From here on...
  12. J

    Follow trend or look for reversal?

    As you ease into being able to see the markets, you will notice that there are many levels of market cycling. I use the term cycling to describe the sequences of trends and reversals in your terminology. You may think of this cycling as a triangular or sine waveform. It turns out there is...
  13. J

    A math kinda ?

    The attached is used to make money using volume as a leading indicator of price. It incorporates the variables you require in the form of a look up table. It was derived on the basis of choosing a particular type Univese of stocks. The Universe is a QA function that helps make the trading...
  14. J

    Bespoke Investment Group has some great graphs and charts

    Thx. There are a couple of errors on your charts, however. They are easy to spot. This third leg (down) is underway. By the end of 2008 there will have been 7 legs (meaning 4 still to come after this down leg completes. The two factors in legs are their extent and duration (like golf...
  15. J

    What are realistic goals for an 18-year old swing/position trader?

    As PF suggests, there is an alternate route and it is stress free and a lot of fun. My suggestion to read "The Predictors" was to enable the OP to have a quick survey of how easy it was for a bunch of characters to miss the clues for going the easy route for making money. Certainly the OP...
  16. J

    What are realistic goals for an 18-year old swing/position trader?

    Try to strike up a connection with ofurbaldur; then you will have two things: 1. A way to spent only a few minutes a day on trading. 2. A way to make many many times the money you would be making if you followed your current path and the advice you have gotten. People do not have to...
  17. J

    Citigroup double bottom or a buy at $5, you decide

    Port1385, Charts are helpful. For this chart, as for any chart, you may wish to consider the way price is moving with respect to how volume is moving. You mentioned buying as an activity for making money. This would be a long trade. Most people, given a choice, trade stocks that are...
  18. J

    Duref Mudgins Invites Jack Hershey to Reminisce

    lol.....and the beat goes on.... Over 111 here again and it has been a good week. The summer is starting and the markets are not going to have a Summer this year. With three big oil companies coming into Iraq remote for safety and training operators away from Iraq I think they will be...
  19. J

    Duref Mudgins Invites Jack Hershey to Reminisce

    continued.... -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Quote from slacker: Here is a small problem that I see with your reply. I will address one at a time... 1. 'only if you want to trade all traverses' How do you know before the trade if you...
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