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  1. mervyn

    Trading US Treasury Yield Curve

    The idea of intraday trading bonds is beyond me. Bond essentially is time value of money, you are betting time passage, not enough time then not enough money earned. CME products are already leveraged, ZN face value is 100k, you can get in the position for 2k maintenance margin, don't ask for...
  2. mervyn

    Wagner Russian Coup

    My point of view is that this is a political struggle between two guys, Putin is in firm control but things got out of hands a little, other day in Russia. No one is going to overthrow anyone, the beef is to bring the mercenaries into the formal structure.. Ask Erik if he can bring his men from...
  3. mervyn

    Wagner Russian Coup

    idk, sounds bs again. not you but twitter.
  4. mervyn

    How do you explain US exceptionalism over the last 75 years?

    “Steal” is probably a better word,.
  5. mervyn

    Russia & Ukraine

    How does the CIA know? Is John Wick on call today?
  6. mervyn

    Tesla 2023

    sell put 240 or 220, rolling down. it went up so fast, along with nvda, soxl, it ought to come down a bit.
  7. mervyn

    Trading US Treasury Yield Curve

    Never pairs unless it is call or put spread unless it is index or stock. You heard these big whales trading curves that is because they can commit large amount of capital and bet against central banks, AND it is not their own money to begin with. This paper is 101, I'd rather build the setup...
  8. mervyn

    Trading US Treasury Yield Curve

    Not the shape of the curve itself in spreads, one has to develop an economic outlook. But ZT ZN ZB are popular. Shorted ZN last two years when rate hike was a thing, just over 10k profit. Now I am not sure if the rate can move fast. Long TLT is probabaly better after another 2 hikes.
  9. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    a gap fill play, expecting 4349 target 1, 4305 second. let's see.
  10. mervyn

    Wagner Russian Coup

    Dislike both, but hey, if you stuck on the lane, you are a roadkill.
  11. mervyn

    Wagner Russian Coup

    because it wasn’t a real thing, it is a show.
  12. mervyn

    Wagner Russian Coup

    Blinker sounds like a moron on the interview, where are the russian nukes, can you see that from the satellite? is the chinese helping US or Russia? yea yea, everything is under control, we knew their plans.
  13. mervyn

    Wagner Russian Coup

    on war front, mostly Israel and middle east press. it is Korea war all over again, Ukraine is not a small country to occupied, they already lost a territory closed to the size of UK. Poland probably want some of lands back too.
  14. mervyn

    Wagner Russian Coup

    maga hats are the opposite of guilt by association, their great leader trump is pro-russia, hence on the russian side without analysis. realists like me believe that if one cannot win, it ought not go into a fight. anything comes out from Ukraine in English, I’d doubt it is truthfulness...
  15. mervyn

    Wagner Russian Coup

    They already kicked out many Russian influence by changing the governments, ought not to join the nato, it is asking for definitive trouble.
  16. mervyn

    Wagner Russian Coup

    Oh well, I hanged out a Thai friend back in 2006 when we were hanging out in Bangkok, saw tanks rolled in, while Thai prime minister was in New York for a UN Assembly meeting. That was a real thing, when there was a power vacuum. There were lot of news about Russian army attacking its own...
  17. mervyn

    Boomers Got Hooked on Stocks. Now They Can’t Let Go.

    read pelosi trades, they just exercised 5000 shares Apple at $80 from last year. Profitable for sure. https://www.capitoltrades.com/articles/nancy-pelosi-exercises-apple-and-microsoft-stock-options-2023-06-23
  18. mervyn

    Wagner Russian Coup

    Agreed with the first part, just read Ukrainian are attacking, maybe it’s a trap. Let’s see what scale this is?
  19. mervyn

    Wagner Russian Coup

    choked by his own hotdog
  20. mervyn

    Wagner Russian Coup

    that's why i never use twitter nor pay any attentions to what it says seriouly, lot of bs, on all sides.
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