Search results

  1. mervyn

    How about a $19,000-per-month internship this summer?

    Why Bloomberg is writing a 40 hours workweek? If they are putting in less than 100 then they are lazy, no coming back. A friend’s kid got an offer from Citadel during the pandemic but he joined its competitor in NYC instead. Chicago winter is cold.
  2. mervyn

    The Chinese Spy Balloon Saga

    Can you read a chart? https://www.barchart.com/etfs-funds/quotes/SPY/interactive-chart/fullscreen
  3. mervyn

    The Chinese Spy Balloon Saga

    DOD: Chinese spy balloon did not collect, transmit data as it transited US
  4. mervyn

    The Economy just got stronger ( in the future ) !

    let me say something not political correct, after this, if your kid is not Asian, Jew, WASP or legacy, he/she is not going to ivy, maybe some state u.
  5. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    something bound to snap https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y#0
  6. mervyn

    Risk/Reward Ratio

    try, you will be surprised, pleasantly.
  7. mervyn

    Risk/Reward Ratio

    Are you sure? Have you ever held 1 ES overnight?
  8. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    red day on ym for me, fake gpd revision... The source of the massive revision? Net trade saw a major increase as exports were revised from 0.58% to 0.86%. Imports were revised, too, from -0.57% to -0.28%. That equaled a net GDP gain of 0.58%, up from 0.01% following the last GDP revision, and...
  9. mervyn

    How do you explain US exceptionalism over the last 75 years?

    Affirmative ActionSupreme Court Strikes Down Race-Based Admissions at Harvard and U.N.C. In disavowing race as a factor in achieving educational diversity, the court all but ensured that the student population at the campuses of elite institutions will become whiter and more Asian and less Black...
  10. mervyn

    Trading US Treasury Yield Curve

    Used to see TUT on Bloomberg but bucks are made on the right yield direction. For example, my plan is to long 5-10 ZT in Q4 and hold for 6 months to 1 year, much better return than buying a 2 year note auctioned last week at 4.625%. but I can be wrong on economic outlook and timing.
  11. mervyn

    Risk/Reward Ratio

    Or could be the opposite, lose 2 and win 1. Each trade is independent coin flip, normal distribution is 50/50, the fewer times you toss a coin, the more likely they will be skewed to either side, like TPO, Volume Profile strategy. But of course, other factors such as news, earnings, etc come...
  12. mervyn

    Risk/Reward Ratio

    and don't forget the pronhub for stress relief.
  13. mervyn

    Risk/Reward Ratio

    Ok, I will play along. sum(abs(notional)) 2021 1,675,166,167.50 sum(abs(notional)) 2022 611,427,993.75 Those were all cme products traded (round trip) with a popular dicount broker here. ES. MES, NQ only, if you must press notional calculation. Haven't counted other 2 accounts traded, ZN and...
  14. mervyn

    Risk/Reward Ratio

    lol, no one thinks notional in CME products. i only calculated once, about 600 million in 8 months, I am not even a hyper active trader on this forum.
  15. mervyn

    How do you explain US exceptionalism over the last 75 years?

    run the whole country when they wish, your turn or mine, from courts to local governments, just the ivy gangs.
  16. mervyn

    Risk/Reward Ratio

    it is binary, so 50/50, other factors aside.
  17. mervyn

    Risk/Reward Ratio

    never forget margin, default 4x by the broker, better use it by selling options. don’t know where you get the es numbers. i just have a fixed dollar amount i want to get each day.
  18. mervyn

    Tesla 2023

    i think 235 gap needs to be filled shortly before the next earnings.
  19. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Deutsche Bank analysts predicted a 3-5% correction due to how long it has been since the last significant market drawdown (73 trading days).
  20. mervyn

    airline stocks vs, cruise line stocks

    Old groupies are going out again.
Back
Top