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  1. mervyn

    The US is now in recession

    but would you put more chips in the game? that’s the ultimate question. i am holding off zt zn long trades, not chasing highs, can wait.
  2. mervyn

    The US is now in recession

    the definition is 2 consecutive gdp numbers, that’s unlikely this year, only 2 quarters left. however just like last year, we pulled out a technical bear market just to avoid a technical bear market. the bond guys are always right.
  3. mervyn

    Tesla 2023

    this is bs, no design can't fly like this. how much they con your money?
  4. mervyn

    The US is now in recession

    sure you can call me out but with data, to dispel wall of worry, until than tom lee remains my favor guy on tv
  5. mervyn

    The US is now in recession

    I am quoting the current data on yields and spy, how to conclude is up to you.
  6. mervyn

    NFP coming today - what do you expect the market will do ?

    adp number was hot, nfp number is cool, what’s going on?
  7. mervyn

    They got the maths all wrong...

    you need to standardize it, set standard deviation 1. in financial sampling, you have to standardize it, skewness, kurtosis, z score, p score, shit load of complications. there is a standardize function in excel.
  8. mervyn

    Crypto Giant Binance Struggles in Europe

    It is true, he is a secretive asian. They haven’t earned the “trust”, and not in the establishment like Rothschild and Morgan. And if he wants to keep people’s money, better be transparent and audited. I think I trust the chinese government more than I trust him.
  9. mervyn

    How do I do a buy-write on e-mini?

    Yes you can, just like any combos.
  10. mervyn

    How do I do a buy-write on e-mini?

    spread? sure execute together but they are two orders.
  11. mervyn

    Can you loan out stocks bought on margin at IB?

    that’s right. Market value has to be higher than cost, but $50k balance is easier. I gout paid FPL interest while I use some small margin.
  12. mervyn

    Jul 2023 FOMC Fed Fund Rate Adjustment?

    2 year is the highest in 16 years today, will go higher. hold my thought on zt zn trades.
  13. mervyn

    NYSE AMERICAN OPTIONS: CASH-SETTLED FLEX ETF OPTIONS AVAILABLE AUGUST 2023

    I am shock, new gamble table just open, welcome to indian tribe.
  14. mervyn

    NYSE AMERICAN OPTIONS: CASH-SETTLED FLEX ETF OPTIONS AVAILABLE AUGUST 2023

    Already priced into the options.
  15. mervyn

    Trade War: China strikes back at US HiTech

    gulliam and germanium are not rare earth, i was told. it is the byproduct of copper zine aluminum smelting. currently 6 companies can make these, 3 in china , 2 in japan, 1 in europe. but someone can verify this.
  16. mervyn

    The US is now in recession

    Is this your "It is different this time argument."? RSP YTD is just up 7 bucks while SPY is up 59 bucks. 2-10 spread today is 1.08%, fourth widest since 1980. 2 Year yield hits 16-year high.
  17. mervyn

    They got the maths all wrong...

    the height of the mode in a normal density is about 0.3989σ. google the formula, something like 1 divided by square root of 2 pie, if my recollection is still useful.
  18. mervyn

    Can you loan out stocks bought on margin at IB?

    I had loaned out tech stock on a "margin" althought I don't over-leverage on margin much. The stock is considered fully paid.
  19. mervyn

    Here comes the Yellen China visit PR stunt

    please elaborate, tokyo olympic went ok...
  20. mervyn

    How do I do a buy-write on e-mini?

    It works the same as stock and index, just more expensive. type the root symbol, select futures options, then find the available dates
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