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  1. mervyn

    Upcoming T Auctions - Action-Packed Week!

    JP tells you everything few months in advance. There will be tow more rate hikes this year.
  2. mervyn

    Cathie Wood's ARK dumped NVDA in January

    Do you know Huang and Su are related? A fun read. https://www.techtimes.com/articles/253736/20201030/fact-check-nvidia-ceo-uncle-amds-dr-lisa-su.htm Now we need a Taiwanese CEO for Intel, Gelsinger is so overpaid and underperformed.
  3. mervyn

    Everyone seems to celebrate a new bull market

    SCHW is not moving, shouldn’t get in the position.
  4. mervyn

    16-Delta is the "sweet spot" for short put?

    Not the same, spy I can take assignments by closing the long leg, waiting for rebounds. Cash settled is cash out of account balance, a lose that can’t be recovered.
  5. mervyn

    16-Delta is the "sweet spot" for short put?

    Watched Christ's YouTube videos oftern, lot of good training and intros. I had traded delta 10-15 weekly SPX Put spreads for 2 years on my mobile phone, the result is that it is not worth it, barely broke even. Perhaps if I trade SPY it would be different, can take assignement and wait for the...
  6. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    cut large losses before jp day, have to drink a bottle, maybe two.
  7. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    You know the math, that’s 25% gain in one year right?
  8. mervyn

    VIX up 6% with SPX up 0.5% --- is this an intermediate top for the week?

    Not projecting out, it calculated for 30 days past. Back in the days, a wise guy told me VIX/16, that’s the average swing % per days for the last 30 days, not sure he had the math to back it up but that’s the moving average explanation. 0DTE is not magic, it got retail folks or experienced...
  9. mervyn

    Are you serious?

    define illegal? By the books? It is doable to long ES and short 10 MES in the same account, or long current month and short back month.
  10. mervyn

    VIX up 6% with SPX up 0.5% --- is this an intermediate top for the week?

    So long the trading range expands, the vix will respond higher. That’s the math.
  11. mervyn

    VIX up 6% with SPX up 0.5% --- is this an intermediate top for the week?

    I long 50 cents exposures in the rolling 3 months as a hedge.
  12. mervyn

    How does the Fed move interest rates?

    The Fed can only decide the overnight interest rate, i.e. this Wednesday. All the treasury papers, bills, notes and bonds are auctioned and/or traded with the assumption that Fed will maintain its ovenight rate. If not enough participants buying the papers, Fed will step in as the buyer of the...
  13. mervyn

    VIX up 6% with SPX up 0.5% --- is this an intermediate top for the week?

    possible, you must know VIX is 30 days movement, but I bet a drop in coming days. It has had one for a while now.
  14. mervyn

    US-China war risks grow

    mankind is always at war, or prepare to go to war. I forgot who said that. we are at war now. In Russian Towns Pounded by Ukraine, Scenes of Desperation and Defiance
  15. mervyn

    US-China war risks grow

    less than one generation, puff. all the entitlements maybe gone quickly.
  16. mervyn

    Anyone on ET Daytrading TESLA

    I sell puts instead.
  17. mervyn

    Are you serious?

    my last word too, same as long 1 es and short 10 mes, margin aside. You will not get caught by the exchange nor the taxman.
  18. mervyn

    US-China war risks grow

    No, Americans are on an island, far from Eurasia on both side. NATO won’t be in any fights at all. Europeans have been doing business with China since the Roman time. Lincoln started a war with the South for the keeping whole of the Union, I wouldn’t expect the Chinese do less when comes to...
  19. mervyn

    Are you serious?

    that’s a reason why one needs two brokers.
  20. mervyn

    Are you serious?

    for one thing, I can open long and short on the same instrument at the same time, provided I have a risk system and the market indeed swings.
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