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  1. bone

    Bridgewater Bets $1.5 billion on Upcoming Market Drop

    No, not if you take their press statement and Dahlio’s subsequent comments at face value. Since they’re calling it a hedge the puts are making their long equity positions more delta neutral in terms of overall portfolio risk. The methodology they are using is to make money as a relative value...
  2. bone

    Bridgewater Bets $1.5 billion on Upcoming Market Drop

    Great question, since day traders like yourself are either long or short the market and generally speaking are flat outright price risk (neutral) when not engaged in a very brief duration intraday bet. SMH. :banghead: If you carry a core long position in your trading account you can lighten up...
  3. bone

    Bridgewater Bets $1.5 billion on Upcoming Market Drop

    And I think that your response is mature and sensible. You cannot worry about things that are out of your immediate control. If the market price action as you interpret it is bullish you buy. If the market price action as you interpret it is bearish you sell. If you're unsure of yourself -...
  4. bone

    Bridgewater Bets $1.5 billion on Upcoming Market Drop

    They haven't made their strike prices known publicly AFAIK.
  5. bone

    Bridgewater Bets $1.5 billion on Upcoming Market Drop

    Ya don't suppose the banks who are clamoring for more liquidity cash in the overnight repo market are buying stocks with it ? Hey: 1.64% cash... :rolleyes:
  6. bone

    My energy trades

    Have you ever thought about shorting RB vs HO in the Winter ? ;)
  7. bone

    Bridgewater Bets $1.5 billion on Upcoming Market Drop

    Yeah, reading Bridgewater's press release carefully - the distinct impression is that they are skiddish and wanted some downside insurance on their portfolio. I doubt that they would only bet 1 percent of their capital on a naked bet if they were absolutely convinced...
  8. bone

    Looking for Day trading/Swing teacher/mentor in Chicago area

    No such thing in the real world of trading real money in real markets. Let’s be realistic - proper exit will also mean no profit and a loss. Unless you are buying order flow, a significant percentage of your trades will incur no profit.
  9. bone

    Looking for Day trading/Swing teacher/mentor in Chicago area

    My concern is that trade management gets the usual platitudes - yet most newbs spend next to no time on it. I'd wager that unprofitable traders are spending 95 percent of their time on trade entry. Everything else is an afterthought. That's just what I've seen working with over 200 clients...
  10. bone

    Market has topped on 2019/11/07. Get the hell out now.

    As of 30 September 2019, Hussman's Strategic Growth fund had a 10-year average annual loss of -7.23%, compared to a 13.24% gain by its benchmark, the S&P 500. Well, if the market drops 72.3% Hussman can maybe break even for his long suffering investors.
  11. bone

    Looking for Day trading/Swing teacher/mentor in Chicago area

    I've seen more newbies blow up from the lack of proper trade management than any other reason. A brilliant trading system includes airtight trade position management - has to.
  12. bone

    Return of short-selling bans: market protection or 'war against truth'?

    You’ll never get a job at the ECB with that kind of attitude :D
  13. bone

    Return of short-selling bans: market protection or 'war against truth'?

    Note: this thread title and the cited article is about Turkey and South Korea - and to an incredibly limited extent, the EU. Not the USA. In fact, the NY Fed thinks that short selling restrictions don’t really work.
  14. bone

    Hedge fund Ardevora to shut trading desk and outsource execution to Northern Trust

    I have a buddy who makes markets on the Northern Trust IR Swaps Desk. NT tried to shut down their customer trading and brokerage business in the late ‘90’s - but their considerable Japanese Commercial clientele insisted on keeping it. It’s a really high quality firm that doesn’t rip customers...
  15. bone

    California to stop buying GM, Toyota and Fiat Chrysler vehicles over emissions fight

    Learn to swim, see you down in Arizona Bay
  16. bone

    LF someone with experience regarding high refresh rate monitors and trading

    This particular rabbithole you've started is quite shallow. Seeing a chart ten ms early is pointless quite honestly - the ECN delays between a trading exchange data server, your charting vendor server, and your own PC ethernet card is of much more consequence than your monitor's refresh rate...
  17. bone

    California to stop buying GM, Toyota and Fiat Chrysler vehicles over emissions fight

    As the State continues to make itself more and more unlivable... And to dictate policy, morays and laws to the rest of the Country.
  18. bone

    Can you recommend a good source for reading about how the CME Globex works?

    It will help you if you can understand how electronic exchanges like Globex internally matches orders. Fortunes have been made with a very deep understanding about exactly how the Globex algorithm works...
  19. bone

    U.S. Treasury and equity futures market liquidity has recently deteriorated

    I read the report, and I am quite skeptical about the origins of their "liquidity index" - it relies more upon subjective dealer opinions than actual exchange traded volume. For example - dealers cited a decline in HF traders (PTF's) as making liquidity "more fragile" (page 16 of the report)...
  20. bone

    Micro CL contract - support the introduction by CME - petition

    He’s from New Zealand. But he could possibly find an oil proxy on the Nikkei.
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