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Maybe "always expect unexpected errors in analysis"

Why are you saying that? I thought that what the market did is rather the logical thing (bonds up, and dollar up). As for stocks, I knew it depends on the parameter of the deal but an immediate rise was logical due to lower general risk.

1. Could you explain the last sentence? 2. In relation to good/bad, I thought this: good=stock up AND oil UP. I do not think that oil lower leads to stocks up. :confused:

I would be careful about the options--- I got the gold direction right by lost in the premium. I know the decay, and yet did the trade for leverage reasons, and "limiting the loss". From time to time I stray from my law that option premium is for selling, even when it is underpriced as long as I...

Today, I could see that some sites I am involved in have been having a record day in earnings-- estimated at around 250 dollars-- but I believe a lucky day like today would not last (even for just one more day) before the law of the average might kick to send things to the low floor, if the...

With the regard to the UN, do not do it. They would take the offer anytime.

LOL! What about the guys in Baghdad?

I agree with you, but you have to realize that in the other country category, there is really only one country that takes the most and real cash (the other are expert assistant, training and the like). You know which country that is. I guess one can say the cash that Isreal goes to Israel.

Imagine you have been invited as an expert guest in a program called "Save The Nation" (moderated by yours truly), and the anchor (me) asks you what you think the President, The House and The Senate should do and say before the futures open on Sunday, and before the deadline of August 2nd...

Default on Eurodollar more likely than default on Bills? Could a chart that shows the spread over time? Others can answer this as well. Thank you.

Before the futures open on Sunday, if the whole thing is not done, they need at least a bill oked by the house. Otherwise, they may be playing with fire. If there is a chance that it can go beyond the deadline and they know there would be no default, the President should make a speech on...

Gustaf: I like what you are doing. Could I ask some questions: 1. Could you explain the objective function you are optimizing (the one mentioned above)? 2. What software do you use to calculate the covariance? Could you share the code/software? 3. You mentioned the formula you have...

What are the conditions under which an option trade could be busted? Please provide links to sources of information, such as exchange. If a stock trade has had busted trades, could the option series trades also get busted?

Your blog is INCOMPLETE--- it does not have links to my sites on the side.

What about debt is raised, and serious cuts + revenues (revenues is also a cut on the rich)?

Why is it bullish? Where did he get the printing idea? The whole idea of debt is not to print????

I have been watching USD/CHF, and bought for the journal account at 0.78645. I tried buying puts on VXX this morning, but they did not fill me.:mad:

What is the source of your data?

What are the indices that follow the arithmetic average price of all stocks? What are the EFTs that approximate that average?

A practical way to think of it is this: 1. If UL goes to the moon, you are short at the highest strike + premium from calls and puts + the distance between current UL price and short calls strike. 2. If UL goes south (way south), you are long 3UL at average of current UL price and short...