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Your analysis is probably faulty, as it seems you have failed to take into account the affect of inflation on real rates. It seems you haven't considered that whereas deficits have a one to one, pound for pound, direct link to government issued "debt", inflation is usually only weakly...

History suggests that this is probably correct.

Padu, what are those little red chunks right next to the blender? Beets?

aha ha ha. Just another example of why I love your posts. You have a great sense of humor.

Pleased to know that there is an alternative to his badly written and produced first book for those interested in what Brooks has to say about price action trading.

There is evidence here that Padutrader is being honest. That's a wonderful trait in any human.

Just to be clear, my curiosity got the better of me, and I bought his first book. Tried mightily to read it, but eventually had to put it down. It is a jumbled irredeemable mess, there is no editing apparent, and the printing and overall production quality is horrible. Even the paper quality...

This is a critical observation you make. I have myself pointed this out many times on ET with regard to the particular fills obtained with something like the TD Ameritrade simulatiion software , which fills buys orders on the bid and sell orders on the ask; the exact opposite of what most...

Brooks is rather amazing. Despite not being able to write a simple sentence in his native tongue, and despite lack of any evidence he was able to practice successfully what he would later teach, he nevertheless has found a way to cash in on the trading of stocks... Quite an accomplishment I...

Let me give you my take on this ridiculous debt ceiling business. Deficits created by spending > revenue increase the amount of base money in the private sector economy*, and the subsequent and linked issue of government bonds then provides a tool of the Central Bank used to regulate the...

Will your hair smell like a macaroon?

I started to read this as the claims in the Abstract were rather startling. In retrospect, I should have stopped reading and returned to egg poaching as soon as it became evident that somehow deaths from inoculation had got jumbled up with post inoculation deaths from Covid-19 and post...

How true! Once you hear the sucking sound of one of his black holes you have to run like hell to keep from being sucked into the vortex.

:rolleyes: In that case why don't you just go ahead and do that analysis, and then act accordingly. It would be a shame if something bad were to happen to you, but I suppose not much can be done about those very few who jump off a cliff after insisting they will be able to fly using a wing...

This is silly double speak. By definition, if there is a "vaccine resistant" variant and that's the only variant that could infect you, then why would you get vaccinated. That's not reality however. Reality is that there is more than one variant that could infect you and the Vaccine is...

I read this entire paper. It offered fairly convincing evidence that prior symptomatic infection offers a somewhat greater protection against reinfection and hospitalization compared the protection against hospitalization among the doubly vaccinated for similar gap between the time of...

I'm afraid not. Sitting around waiting for "natural immunity resulted in what, ~7 million deaths...world wide. Compare that number to the number of fully vaccinated that have that died from Covid. The latter number is insignificant compared to ~7 million! Most of those ~7 million died...

Why do you insist on ignoring the real data?

Do you have any specific examples of this "dramatic fading" you mention?

They are not. In general, vaccination of a substantial fraction >80 % will reduce the transmission rate significantly. Obviously, what you post is false or what I post is false, because both statements can not be true at the same time..