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3:29PM: 1.4452. Trying my luck on long side using reduced sized. Plan to add if it falls some 30 pips down.

3:04PM: e/u at 1.4464/65. Why are the bears shorting at this price?

time now 12:09. e/u now at 1.4482. What do you do now? Here is what is in my head now. If I do not take profits and it goes down, I would have a loser even after having had a winner. If I do wait, and take profits at 3 pips higher (as planned), then I would be happy only if it is a top. If...

Price action guys: is this what you do? " E/U now at 1.4465. You look down and see a previous break out at 1.4462. You look up at the retest of the why and see 20 pips. Then you think something like"If I risk 10 pips to make 20pips and if the probs are above break even, then buy"?" Time...

BTW shortie: how is that SPY/GLD spread going? It was indeed a genius observation. I read your thread in the evening, and wanted to short puts but the market was closed, so I missed. I wish I read your post during the day. :mad:

Since you got out of that box, you made around $70 net increase?

I think I agree with you. Where and when could one read your live trades? I am also curious to know how a thread can be fabricated. Since you seem to think a thread can be fabricated, could you tell us how do you think it can be done? You should also cease and desist from making wrong...

Yes, I believe every timing method does, due to internal as well as external effects. In relation to the later, I try to keep in mind the effects of major events on markets (Japan for instance). Since predicting tsunamis/earthquakes is not possible with deterministic methods at the current state...

Could you stop using words such as the F word, the A. word, etc?

If my memory does not fail me, I believe someone with a screen name like yours made some tough posts sometime ago. Is it you or someone else?

It is a models type of thing. I realize it may be boring for the readers, but there are no particular reasons in the models.

They would be more in shock if and when I would blow up the account! Furthermore, I have not yet seen what the losing trades might lead to---What if the losing trades are big (because of not getting out soon enough for instance) to reverse things? I thank you for the compliments though. I...

I am very surprised by the silence of the readers of this thread. Don't you have comments/questions/input/etc to share?

e/u at 1.4417. +32pips. I think I should start scaling out here at least partially, and wait for a possible retreat if it comes. The move was very fast-- the bears seem to have been shorting a bottom around 1.4382, and then followed by short covering. The other explanation is just straight...

We have had a retreat of around 40to50pips so far. E/U is now at 1.4385. I am thinking it is a possible point for me to starting scaling back in on long side.

One person (Optionable) is debating virtually all other posters on this thread, and HE IS WINNING! It is like a boxer going to a ring, and KO a dozen other boxers.

Optionable: Thanks for showing up. I would bet the silent majority is with you. It is refreshing to discover that there are good patriots and good thinkers still left in this forum. Unfortunately they post less often, and less in numbers. I believe it is important to mention that the...

e/u 1.4325 was a solid bottom area, retest a number of times (forgot the count). e/u is now around 1.4425. I am thinking to close it out, and wait for a possible retreat, and then think what to do from there.

I would have not known the observation if I did not read this thread, and/or the poster did not share it. I find it one of the few best observations I have read on ET over the last few months.

Excellent post shortie. Thanks for sharing. What are the IVs on the SPY calls and on the GLD puts you bought?