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Risk-free return has been at the core of option pricing models. A number of things follow from it, such as the put-call parity. What if there is default on bonds? Are there are flaws in option pricing models? For instance which side is better: the short call or the short put? We know what the...

Shortie: Since you seem to have traded the VXX options, I thought to ask this question (which others can also answer). Towards end of trading today, I attempted to buy an august put on VXX when it touched 24. I was thinking that strike 23 was worth 1.05, but realized later that it was strike 22...

If case of Fail: Is it the dollar that would go to the roof or G/S that would go to hell? Is hell up or down?

1. You are not clueless from my vantage point. On the contrary. 2. If you hedged with +dollar to reflected your view, would you have been better off? I am just asking not suggesting it.

Your interpretation is correct. What did you think of the inflation fear (as of night of Tuesday to Wednesday), and what do you think of it going forward?

You seem to be shorting one thing which may be one of the (two?) parts of the other thing. Maybe the parts of the other thing could have been broken into singles, if the environment is conducive for them to move in opposite directions. Just had the thought today.

I believe that Soros did not know anything about what he said he knew about. I watched the video where he said it sometime ago. I do not believe Soros to be a good trader either. He strikes me as a low caliber as far as thinking and farseeing goes, but he was rendered famous because of cash...

against the other currencies mentioned above, and also gold in some time frame, but not infinite time frame as all currencies lose value against hard assets. There are currencies that would do better than the dollar, but there are not in your list.

I have noticed it ONE YEAR ago, here on ET, before it took place (I think in one of shortie's threads towards end of summer last year). It proves that: 1. to make money in markets, knowledge is not enough. 2. the so called "experts" are not experts but rather hindsighters. 3. that...

I did some thinking that lead me to believe that the US dollar might rally. In addition, my thinking is leading me to believe that if the US were to be downgraded, such a rally could be ferocious. What strategies would give me the highest "bang for my buck" if the above were to be correct?

The Nomura's are confused. The dollar would rise, and that is the logical outcome. I cannot believe that such a company as Nomura cannot think straight.

Make up your mind between 1 and 2., european piker. :)

Just for the record: the trend of the dollar has been down. I am mentioning it so that if the future trend were to become up, they cannot state the "follow the trend" thing. If the dollar continues down, they cannot claim it either, because they did not state anything so far, particularly since...

How should we interpret the lack of interest in this dollar thread, when the thread was initiated at the dollar's worse pricing area? There was a sharp move today, but the "experts" on bloomberg have been saying the dollar was going down further. What should we make of it? Do they know more...

I have written in other threads these three things: 1. There appears to be a disconnect between earnings and pricing. I did not see why AAPL should go above 405. So far so good. 2. My suspicion of AMZN seems to also be correct. The margins are too low, and heading lower. I did not see why...

Imagine the power of future Professor Shortie M. Reader!

Are you a mind reader?:)

1. Treasury should go up, not down. It strikes that this guy made money, but he does not really understand things deeply. 2. He should have known why the dollar is more likely to go up, other than the "majority/sentiment" thing.

I was looking for " I do care" as my vote. Could not find it.

Are we there yet? How far is it? EUR/USD at 1.4475. I am rooting for Uncle Sam.