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  1. destriero

    Roulette is predictable

    I can walk in and change for yellow or brown chips. It's not proof. The only proof is the W-2G. Anyway, this is boring me. Find a hobby.
  2. destriero

    Roulette is predictable

    I can post closing tickets when I play the ETG game, but it's 00. I am almost exclusively table games now at single zero (Euro and la partage rules). I pulled 8200 out of Cosmo's ETG but that's stupid when a solo high limit table is available.
  3. destriero

    Pfizer: Switzerland stops the Covid vaccines.

    14 billion COVID vaccine doses administered worldwide.
  4. destriero

    Roulette is predictable

    And FWIW, NDX vol can drop 400 beeps here before that PNL touches x at the trough. You think it will touch x before CPI? I will add that it's critical with any -EV that you quit after a modeled string of wins. All market classes are -EV to the participant. At least I know what mine is when I...
  5. destriero

    Roulette is predictable

    I'm not remotely assuming it's edge. I know what the EV is as any 5th grader can calculate it. I get comped bc I add hedge to 85% hit rate action and mini donks (low prob covered action pays less by design). It's basically how I apply bet sizing in vol. I know eventually I will lose my opening...
  6. destriero

    Roulette is predictable

    You honestly think that your edge loss at micro ES is better than -2.7? You're fucking dreaming. Aren't you sucking up to these fake prop firms looking to internalize your silly orders?
  7. destriero

    Roulette is predictable

    Beat it? I take mkt winnings and parlay. I understand the -edge of Euro. I took a week's PNL and started with Revere APC at 21 and realized I don't have the patience for the var and the shallow deal. I'm up more than you make in a year and been comped all over LV. I haven't paid for a room since...
  8. destriero

    Roulette is predictable

    Starting with $2,500 as stated. One session with no action exceeding $5K. Just under 15 minutes. As stated, they will donk your open numbers (hit open number 3x in a row).
  9. destriero

    Roulette is predictable

    I'm not going to lose it as I treat the two opening spins as Don't Pass wagers. I walk if I lose either of the first two spins. It simply hasn't happened yet. It's a shtty sim as they donk your unhedged so you'll watch their videos. 11 minutes starting with $2,500.
  10. destriero

    Roulette is predictable

    Total time at the table? 16.4 hours. $4K/hour.
  11. destriero

    Roulette is predictable

    This is called more than you make in a year. Hit the 3/5 column/quad bet and progressively hedge until hedge meets payout and return to opening bet. My sesh hit rate is literally 100% over 25-30 trials. Up about 65K since Mar 1.
  12. destriero

    Roulette is predictable

    I am up $14,100 for the month at French roulette and Euro (Encore, MGM).
  13. destriero

    My wife's strategy...Let those option people come to me!! Novartis (NVS)

    You lose $200 less than you would have in the CC. $400 less than if you're simply long the stock. But yes, the synthetic straddle is equivalent to shorting a $40 straddle, but in your case (the synthetic) it allows you to run it against shares you already hold. Try it as a half lot. Long 50...
  14. destriero

    My wife's strategy...Let those option people come to me!! Novartis (NVS)

    I didn't state to buy a put. I stated that you should be overwriting your portfolio. Short call + shares = synthetic short put. Overwriting with calls = synthetic bull short straddle.
  15. destriero

    My wife's strategy...Let those option people come to me!! Novartis (NVS)

    The moral to this story is that it filled opportunistically. She filled on shares rallying. Now, had the mkt dropped she would have missed the short call fill. You should be short synthetics straddles or short put synthetics on every position you own.
  16. destriero

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

  17. destriero

    Happy Easter to all the traders !

    Missed you at the resurrection!
  18. destriero

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    This is the sole evidence that @virtusa @schweiz has ever produced for ET. A pic of a $0 PNL run from Google Images. https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/malicious-trolling-and-stalking.323122/page-16#post-4693617 I'm blocked... so in b4 he posts a response to a nick he has blocked (me).
  19. destriero

    I'm seriously thinking of giving up on technical patterns.

    There are only two that work and are conditional.
  20. destriero

    Critique this upcoming trade on GOOG

    Mid hold it behaves like a digital. I would put a time stop on it, but the curve holds through LTD. You should add 100bps in vol (vol-corr) on the down-side stress. The natural is shown but trade the entire fly as calls.
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