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  1. M

    Parliament in Berlin is expected to approve aid for Greece

    Yes, that's my understanding...
  2. M

    Parliament in Berlin is expected to approve aid for Greece

    Greece is irrelevant. It's not about Greece, so EUR keeps going, IMO. Bundesrat approved now, btw...
  3. M

    Parliament in Berlin is expected to approve aid for Greece

    Bundestag approved, Bundesrat - not yet... The lawsuit by academics that went to the Constitutional Court to block the payments is unlikely to succeed.
  4. M

    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    Well, there was a rumor yest that the Greek govt hired Lazard to explore restructuring options... Obv, it was denied and the Greek MoF said that Lazard's involvement has nothing whatsoever to do with restructuring. Lazard, of course, is the bank that advised Argentina, Ecuador, etc. during...
  5. M

    Bank runs in Greece (NBG and others)

    There have been runs... Moreover, it's been acknowledged by the IMF/EU, given that bank recapitalization is part of the program (arnd EUR 10bn allocated to it).
  6. M

    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    There are rumors circulating of SNB and ECB re-instating x-ccy swap lines with the Fed.
  7. M

    Who will pay the E 1 Billion plus PIGS bailout?

    E 1 billion plus? You sure it's not a couple of dollars?
  8. M

    Spain, Portugal and Greece

    Big difference... The UK has a printing press and a central bank guv'nor, who's not afraid to turn it on.
  9. M

    Nobodys Talking Derivative Exposure In The Pigs !

    At this point, these issues are nothing compared to normal straightforward nominal debt exposure. That's why there's nobody talking about it.
  10. M

    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    It's likely to go to 40+ tomorrow... Last I checked 3m USD depo out of tomorrow was 40 bid, no offer. We be having a scramble for funding here, right and proper.
  11. M

    Bernanke Admits Printing $1.3 Trillion Out Of Thin Air

    Yep, that's my view, as well... Moreover, the deleveraging has just started, judging by what's happening in the Eurozone.
  12. M

    Grab yer ankles US taxpayers, Greece is here, hot & ready!

    http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2010/05/us-greek-bailout-costs-tiny/
  13. M

    How much does Greece contribute to the global economy?

    Economic and Monetary Union
  14. M

    How much does Greece contribute to the global economy?

    You don't quite get it, amico... Suppose I tell you that the US of A has broken up and each of the states has decided to go its own way? Do you think it's good or bad for the global economy?
  15. M

    How much does Greece contribute to the global economy?

    Greece is irrelevant. It's the EMU.
  16. M

    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    No, I don't know what the legal basis for these lines is. Given the questioning Benny B got from Alan Grayson, I think there's a danger the Fed might not be able to open these lines in the current environment.
  17. M

    Eurodollar futs buy and hold strategy?

    Two things affect the rollup: 1) What is priced-in, in terms of the FOMC 2) The expectations for the spread between LIBOR and the FedFunds rate. 3) Simple risk premium Based on the three considerations above, you have to treat each case on its own merits.
  18. M

    Covered Calls vs. Naked Puts

    You're right... The risk of a naked put is limited, assuming the price of the underlying cannot be negative.
  19. M

    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    Ah, OK... Would you buy it if the paper yielded next to nothing? I see the low in 2y notes was arnd 60bps. We're making a new low in 2y schatz, arnd 70bps. Would you lift them all the way down to 0?
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