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  1. M

    Nevada Ranch Dispute Getting Ugly, Another Waco Or Ruby Ridge Coming?

    Sure, that may very well be... However, like I said, this is a case that was brought originally during the Clinton admin. The federal judge who ruled on it is a Reagan appointee.
  2. M

    Nevada Ranch Dispute Getting Ugly, Another Waco Or Ruby Ridge Coming?

    The original case was originally brought during the 90s (Clinton administration). The point of the case was a simple property rights dispute (federal govt said that the rancher should pay for grazing cows on federal land, while the rancher said he could do what he wanted with this land). My...
  3. M

    Nevada Ranch Dispute Getting Ugly, Another Waco Or Ruby Ridge Coming?

    Correct me if I'm wrong, but there is a federal court ruling that the rancher is violating. Moreover, the court specifically gave the rancher 45 days to comply or face the forcible removal of his cows from federal land. In fact, it appears that it's the courts which specifically instructed the...
  4. M

    The 31-Year-Old Hedge Fund Star Who Was Paid $119 Million

    This sounds quite low, given he allegedly made $2bn... If $119 bucks is all he got, that's like a 6% cut. Also, it was all stock, which is weird. I imagine he really got paid quite a bit more and the $119 is just the publicly disclosed portion.
  5. M

    McCain blasts Kerry

    +1
  6. M

    $1 options

    As far as these options are concerned, the rule is that, in the overwhelming majority of cases, if you pay peanuts, you get monkeys.
  7. M

    Range vs. Standard deviation

    Yes, I know what you asked for... If you look at the link I mentioned, you would have seen that it's a discussion of the various different measures of volatility. Specifically, you might wanna look at the Parkinson estimator.
  8. M

    Range vs. Standard deviation

    http://www.ivolatility.com/help/2.html
  9. M

    $1 options

    Yeah, there's a lot of stories: http://www.powerball.com/powerball/pb_stories.asp
  10. M

    Sniper finishes off 6 Muslims with ONE bullet.

    It is rather amazing, especially in light of the fact that the sniper is a 20yr old. BTW, the "Second to None" Lilywhites (that's what this regiment's called) are potentially going to be disbanded as part of the UK defence budget cuts.
  11. M

    What does Karen the Supertrader and her results say about volatility? Oversold?

    Yeah, I agree, they appear to be reasonably smart and, more importantly, straightforward... I don't imagine, though, that there's some sort of super special secret sauce that they offer that a clever long-only shop couldn't reproduce, if they wanted to. The other question, of course, is the...
  12. M

    What does Karen the Supertrader and her results say about volatility? Oversold?

    We should ask sle for a confirmation of your estimate... Personally, my guide has always been LJM. If you look at the history of their returns (http://www.ljmpartners.com/performance-history), it's pretty useful. Specifically, if we use the constraint that you have specified, it rules out...
  13. M

    Leftist Failure - The EU is on brink

    Yeah, it's tricky to perform these comparisons, for sure... There's all sorts of devils in the details. Yeah, although there are key differences. Japan was, and is, a proper basket case of many things going wrong. At the same time, Japanese society was so cohesive and well-organised and the...
  14. M

    Leftist Failure - The EU is on brink

    Some, like Italy and France, have a lot of external debt, indeed... For the Eurozone as a whole, the number seems to be arnd 45% (although, again, it depends on whether you use the gross or net measures).
  15. M

    Leftist Failure - The EU is on brink

    My call is that Europe is, in fact, going into deflation... Or call it Japanification, if you like.
  16. M

    Leftist Failure - The EU is on brink

    Using the IMF figures, Eurozone is arnd 96%, US arnd 106% (gross, rather than net).
  17. M

    Leftist Failure - The EU is on brink

    That's a silly article. EU unemployment didn't increase modestly, it increased massively (nearly 2x). Welfare payments to individuals in the Eurozone didn't increase. European stimulus didn't expand govt ministries. In fact, govt spending in the Eurozone has been going down since the crisis...
  18. M

    Institutional vs Retail trade management differences?

    Larger, institutional type traders realize that the process of entering and exiting trades incurs a large cost (not only bid/ask, but also labor and time). Furthermore, these costs don't scale linearly with size. Therefore, it's often not economic to do higher frequency trades. That said...
  19. M

    US provides $10 million for Moldova’s border

    Here we stand, indeed... Are you saying Russia is a threat to the US? If so, I am very curious how exactly is it threatening.
  20. M

    What does Karen the Supertrader and her results say about volatility? Oversold?

    As far as I can tell, a trade like this is equivalent to BRK borrowing $5bn unsecured at 20y OIS rate (actually, this isn't entirely clear; could be they discounted the premia at the BRK's risky rate, although this isn't what the Lehman doc that people in FT talked about suggests). I don't see...
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