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  1. mervyn

    Looks like players sold out of Semiconductors and went short at Direxion..?

    rsi, which is kc meant by oversold, I think.
  2. mervyn

    Looks like players sold out of Semiconductors and went short at Direxion..?

    check soxs chart, i think it is at 25.
  3. mervyn

    Looks like players sold out of Semiconductors and went short at Direxion..?

    soxs and soxl are inversed, either one is a bet.
  4. mervyn

    2024 Recession Bet?

    I definitely see a sharp downturn later this year, but since we were near a bear last year, recession of 2 consecutive negative GDP maybe hard to come by.
  5. mervyn

    Looks like players sold out of Semiconductors and went short at Direxion..?

    did long sosx thursday and friday respectively, 500 shares each day.
  6. mervyn

    How realistic is it to raise capital using your trading record from an IRA account?

    if you don’t use foul language then I will let go. If you paying cash for a landlord who just happens to own few adjacent cheap apartments, then it is not professionally managed. Same goes with asset managers. btw, i went to ivy school with capital C.
  7. mervyn

    How realistic is it to raise capital using your trading record from an IRA account?

    you are an idiot. Stop saying friends and family money, those are not professionally managed, they trusted you to give you play money. Sure if you have a sponsor or guarantor the GP obligations, it might get slightly easier.
  8. mervyn

    How realistic is it to raise capital using your trading record from an IRA account?

    No, generally you need a professional track record.
  9. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Lot of folks here will dispute this statement. Been using AMP for a long time, I am happy with them. TS software is just old, wish they have a modern platform.
  10. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    I expect a skip, then 25bps next time. the catalyst is that once debt ceiling passes, additional 1 trillion bonds will be issued, draining the liquidity. I bought 21 days cmb for over 6% on Tuesday, it is a surprising rate.
  11. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    You can eat AI.
  12. mervyn

    Bei jing loves Joey

    That is what the government wants you to think, because they are smarter than private gunrunners? The answer is we just don’t know. Whatever systems can be hooked up remotely, the risks are there. Same goes with our exports to the rest of the world.
  13. mervyn

    Another Trade of a lifetime - long treasury bonds (and T Notes)

    TLT will break 100 soon, not a trade of life time yet. Once the debt ceiling passes, Treasury will print 1 trillion immediately, about 600 billion will be used to roll outstanding bonds, 400 billion will be used to pay for spendings. Bond price will be depressed for a while, market liquidity...
  14. mervyn

    VIX Options - Do you prefer to trade VXX or VIX, and why?

    vix, direct and simple. vxx is the term structure of vix, more a second derivative. In another word, vix measures 30 day’s movements of spx. vxx measures 30 day changes of vix.
  15. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    MC/CQG is using 5pm of last night closing 4150.75 as initial price, 6pm open at 4157, because of the after hour jumped. vs. yesterday closing price 4126. Full 31 points uncounted for. Let me see if the data reset tonight, it is weired, never notice this big of discrepancy before, been using MC...
  16. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    that’s why I asked, we all made money based on the data feeds. I realized the difference after I booked 12 points profit, didn’t feel right when I was peeking at CNBC, it is green on TV and red on multicharts.
  17. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Same instrument, mEP is with CQG, ES is with TS. Ignore MES for now. Everything is system default, I trade from the DOM, watchlist is for reference, but the two are the same before, pretty sure.
  18. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    I am comparing EPM23 and ESM23, they are the same.
  19. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    No, the index number is the same. I am confused because the net change and net change % columes are different. The screen is from MultiCharts watchlist and TS.
  20. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    I am very confused about today's data feed, is ES green or red? CQG has prev 4150.75, up 11 pts, 0.3%. While TS and TOS is up 36 pts, 0.9%. Anyone?
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