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  1. J

    The fear of trading edge becoming inefficient?

    I try to filter out noise myself. Share your experience in other classes like English 501 or Writng for Publication or what the T&C are in your Author's Agreement. Use a black hi liter and cut all the noise and esoteric stuff out to make it easy for the English 101 types in ET. Better...
  2. J

    The fear of trading edge becoming inefficient?

    The three questions you asked regarding the post are kind of light weight and not the kind of thing one would expect from anyone who is going to settle down and get really rich.
  3. J

    The fear of trading edge becoming inefficient?

    hi Odd trader, Thanks for keeping the thread discourse alive. Too bad you didn't get a response on your "specific"...."constant" quiry. I view edges as coming from about 6 distinct roots; five are: News, Market rules, Instrument processes, Index relations to securities, and Price action...
  4. J

    Goldman's Blankfein Says Credit-Market Crisis May Be Half Over

    About 400 billion is "showing". This started about 01JUN 06, at this point we are at 12,000 on the DJ and going through 1300 on the S%P. The figure for the mark to market is about 800 billion and most are not filing according to the regs. There was a thread at the end of the year on...
  5. J

    What if a trade doesn't immediately move in your favor?

    You have to consider many things. Your objective is to make money by understanding thaat the market is always right AND the market does not keep any secrets. By staying on the "outside of the market", you are sitting and making guesses as to what YOU THINK the market is doing. Perhaps you...
  6. J

    Trading fulltime retail with $50k

    You will note that guy you refer to took about 33 minutes to post that he didn't get it. So you get to see "the filter" at work. Both of you are going to stay just about where you are by your choices. That's life.
  7. J

    Trading fulltime retail with $50k

    the attached will explain it to some people. I hope you take the time to digest it.
  8. J

    Trading fulltime retail with $50k

    I made reference to a post made today, a day which some people may feel presents difficulties. Apparently it was attainable one a day like today. I miscommunicated that 16% a day is possible on avarage for a person's total porfolio. I do know some people who use their account sweepings...
  9. J

    Trading fulltime retail with $50k

    A person can make 2 to 3 times 800 dollars a day in the equities with 45 to 50k and no leverage. No trader who is taking what is offered will have a static level of capital in the markets. Capital increases at an exponential rate. Today, a post in another thread mentions a profit of 16%...
  10. J

    How to define a trend 100 % objectively ?

    I glanced through this thread you are authoring and noticed that there hasn't been a broad response. Perhaps you may wish to fill us in on how you code and what markets interest you. I found out that you do not work on paper first; How do you develop an idea for coding? Are you using a...
  11. J

    Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

    I'm not into any random testing unless all data feed variables are involved and many fractals are deployed. But when I do read and explore efforts, I do see that a lot of people approach randomness from the viewpoint that anything is possible. I know there must be some work done on the 101...
  12. J

    Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

    In your classes, do you often get comments about the paper? Or better still how to you operate in classes? Prof provided some incite that was very dear to me in terms of classroom and subject matter orientations of students and/or profs. Spyder and I have had many conversations about...
  13. J

    How to define a trend 100 % objectively ?

    In the mode of the thread. Keep using the pen and paper. Write out the P, V relationship so you can code it. to make it easy, use two "if, then" Boolean statements. then you can "or" them together and use the output of the OR to tell you when there is a trend, when it ends and wnen the...
  14. J

    Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

    Rahula Here is a "what if" for you. "What if", you for a moment, could take on the viewpoint that predicting is not a requirement to make money. To do this you would have to, for a moment, skip all the mathematics related to analyzing the markets from a probability point of view. Say...
  15. J

    Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

    For making money Taleb is humor. As Prof says, reading and selling his stuff is the best idea for carrying on conversations. It may be a good idea to give another person's comments some credit based on their aurgument (meaning developing their views). We understand that you are "printed"...
  16. J

    How to define a trend 100 % objectively ?

    Use the P, V relationship as the gross objective measure. Trends overlap for a period of time. The period before BO and after the over lap begins can be handled by using a less gross measure but you do already have a 100% definition by just using the gross measure. The P, V relation is...
  17. J

    Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

    On a scale of 1 to 10, they will yield (provide a quality of information) of about 4 to 6. This score is a yes for you and a no for me. If a person puts up a good display, seeing price bars (generated or otherwise) is not required. to do much better than 6.
  18. J

    Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

    Beliefs about working with math (generators) could only work for market analysis if human psychology were part of the deal. For me, the roughout would be to use price and volume and about seven fractals to have a composite. For me the pace vs volatility of past periods serves to instruct...
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