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In that case, use break-out strats for currencies, and trend-following strats for equities.

No I did not.....missed it. Indeed, the chinese stock market rally was the big cause....it was mombo oversold. I'm not sure that copper is going to sustain this rally....lots of short covering here. Usually, that does not last long.

Are we FINALLY near a bottom here ? My gosh, copper has been hammered..... Wow, the recent volume as been phenomenal.

Of course, but the "pay back" is inflation....which is not good given the stagnant real-wages in the USA. Stagnant real-wages is the most important economic issue right now. Cheap overseas labor continues to wreck havoc with American wages....and Trump has failed on "fixing" this.

Granted that HG can move without provocation. So my answer for the 2011 to 2016 move is reversion-to-the-mean...... but this latest move is totally tariff-related. Cause and effect.

Oh my....he took quite a beating...probably in the hundreds of millions of dollars.

So did Dahua liquidation his position before the recent rout in copper ?

Copper has been obliterated.....in such a short period of time......just incredible.

Indeed, this market is way over-sold. Wait for the short covering before adding.

This recent move down has been somewhat historic / epic...no ? Wow, the metals complex continues to get hammered. Can anything turn it around ?

See prior posts....it's likely to stop working after a month or so of use. They employe a sophisticated KLMS (key license management system).

The lack of response from Padutrader is so indicting...... He doesn't annotate his charts adequately.... He doesn't suggest a risk management strategy....nor complete trading strategy. This looks shakey at best. Worst of All...it appears to be "NON-BACKTESTABLE".... that is always a bad omen.

Investigate China demand for copper....that's HUGE for this market.

Oh so true...and wow, copper is getting hammered right now. Whatever happened to the Chile copper miner strike ? Suddenly the market has shifted to a weak demand view because of the trade wars. I don't think that thinking is going to last. I'd be looking to go long here....the short covering...

Padutrader: you don't show any 1-2-3 set-ups in any of your recent charts. How can we determine when NOT to trade the 1-2-3 ? I don't "see it"....where are the numbers ?

Oh how the metals markets have been hammered.....thanks to Trump.

Dude - read below: You can't trade it without the above.

R-squared is a statistical measure of how close the data are to the fitted regression line. It is also known as the coefficient of determination, or the coefficient of multiple determination for multiple regression. 0% indicates that the model explains none of the variability of the response...

We should be talking Sharpe or Sortino Ratios here...not R-Squared. That's for economists...LOL !!

Nicely done... I know the power of options first hand...both selling premium and buying it. Ya gotta have a knack for ecquisite timing...