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  1. S

    theta is the edge correct?

    Well, yes and no. The BXM will always outperform during down markets but most of the time it will lag in an up market. The BXM modestly outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 15 years or so but that's because the trend of the market over that time period has been up (SPX up 2-1/2 times)...
  2. S

    theta is the edge correct?

    This makes me think of a horse at the track with blinders on. He only sees what's directly in front of him. A bit myopic...
  3. S

    Edge?

    AFAIK, the only edge is one's skills. It could be identifying trends, patterns, skew, momentum, discipline (not the whips kind), money management, etc. but in and of itself, there's no advantage to an option strategy, long or short. For the most part, the circumstances of the underlying is...
  4. S

    Edge?

    Whether it's urban legend or true story, there's an old scam where a futures broker who sends out reco's to a large sample. To the half that hit, he sends out another reco. And again, another reco to the 2nd group of winners. Now he has 1/8 of the starting sample who have received 3...
  5. S

    Edge?

    I wager $100 of ET currrency (ya know, that stufff that posters print here all day long) that if it were me doing this, I'd open up multiple G-mail accounts. One of em has to hit! :D :p
  6. S

    How to place a vertical spread order with TD Ameritrade?

    If you trade more than once a month, do yourself a favor and find a better commission rate. Trading is hard enough to start with - that $10 base fee really adds insult to injury.
  7. S

    ITM time premium and assignment risk?

    Such is life in the investment lane.
  8. S

    ITM time premium and assignment risk?

    Suppose you sell a CC and the stock drops a fair amount. The call expires. Now you can be a buy and hoper, errr holder or you can sell an OTM CC hoping to break even sooner. The lowest OTM call that gets you even could be many months out. Some might sell somethiing a bit lower and closer...
  9. S

    UPDATE: ARNA - Bio-tech Review

    Maybe I'm missing it but I don't see option legs of the spread in your link. What were they? Thx
  10. S

    In the Money covered call + premium

    It's a really good strategy when the stock is down no more than the intrinsic value of the call. When it's down a lot more, it's a terrible strategy. :D
  11. S

    Closing short OTM options for cents, rather then let them expire

    I think it depends on the circumstances, eg. how much time remains, how far OTM the short leg is and if you have designs for next month. For example, suppose the UL has risen only modestly and you intend to sell next month at exp. Then, I'd look at covering the short leg for pennies and...
  12. S

    Newbie, where to start?

    Staccato voice droning from PA system: O (pause) P (pause) has (pause) been (pause) terminated O (pause) P (pause) has (pause) been (pause) terminated O (pause) P (pause) has (pause) been (pause) terminated
  13. S

    Newbie, where to start?

    And memorize everything on the Yahoo bulletin boards! Yahoo is very accurate? ROFLMAO
  14. S

    need advice on an Iron Condor position

    A bit late for this but I think it's a good idea that as the UL moves toward one side, if possible (B/A spread doesn't kill you), the other side should be rolled the amount of the move, bringing in more premium to offset the losing side. If writing IC's is an ongoing thing, you might consider...
  15. S

    how come I do not have my IWM stocks??

    +.90 (10% off today on all merchandise)
  16. S

    Does anyone follow this strategy?

    HEH! It's more like an idiot who thinks that a put covers 10 shares :D
  17. S

    Does anyone follow this strategy?

    Going one step further... Suppose I buy 500 puts at the ASK price. Am I smart money buying bearish puts? Suppose I already owned 5,000 shares of the underlying and was just hedging the lonh position. Doesn't matter if this adds to OI or not. My volume tells you nothing.
  18. S

    strategies for buying expensive options?

    BUY SHEEP, SELL DEER
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