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    Apparently the U.S. has taken out Iran's Quds General

    improper training, rattled nerves, fog of war. It happened in Ukraine and it almost happened on the USS Alabama: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimson_Tide_(film)
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    Swiss Back Channel Helped Defuse U.S.-Iran Crisis

    You claim to have a post graduate degree in economics?!?!
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    Money made the Warren Buffett way

    Send it to the guy who bought in 2009 as well. Also send it to the guy who bought it in 2002. Not every strategy works all the time. Obviously.
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    Dell just put out a mammoth 43-inch monitor for traders — and we tried it

    Actually the reason they went public again is that the trump tax plan had a serious negative consequence as they were highly levered.
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    Swiss Back Channel Helped Defuse U.S.-Iran Crisis

    It’s pretty obvious you don’t read much of anything.
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    Swiss Back Channel Helped Defuse U.S.-Iran Crisis

    Well, your own willing ignorance is for you to live with. And perhaps you shouldn’t opine on issues where you willingly choose to be ignorant.
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    Swiss Back Channel Helped Defuse U.S.-Iran Crisis

    Guess again or stop making assumptions when you can literally do the research in 10 seconds.
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    Swiss Back Channel Helped Defuse U.S.-Iran Crisis

    Fucking Deep State preventing a war.
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    Jeff Talpins’ $18 billion Element Capital Raised Fees in 2019 and It Turned in a Worse Performance t

    From the firms founding to 2018, he’s averaged 21percent. There’s probably no better fund to invest your macro allocation in.
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    In Disappointing Year, Bridgewater’s Flagship Fund Returns 0.5%

    The performance sucks. But not because the SPX rallied 30percent.
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    Cash secured puts - Stocks or ETFs

    Implied vs realized. Skew is not risk premium. Some of it might be. As you said in that thread, skew is an attempt to resolve the violation of a basic assumption of black scholes: constant volatility. it’s unclear how overpriced or underpriced it is. So not all extrinsic price is risk premium.
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    Cash secured puts - Stocks or ETFs

    We know that institutional is VERY concave. Retail is probably more convex. I am more convex because i believe that retail doesn’t have the same regulatory and commercial constraints as institutional and the natural implication of that is the ability to sell vol. however I also know I won’t...
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    Cash secured puts - Stocks or ETFs

    That’s the concave utility function.
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    In Disappointing Year, Bridgewater’s Flagship Fund Returns 0.5%

    People don’t invest in bridgewater to beat the SPX. They invest in bridgewater to have a stable return that beats other stable return options. These are rich people who don’t want the risk of the equity markets for this portion of their wealth or endowments/pensions who have specific liabilities...
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    Cash secured puts - Stocks or ETFs

    This has been beaten to death, but it has been shown that there is some risk premium in options due to the concave utility curve of virtually all market participants. This is the volatility risk premium. It is constantly changing, and the premium may be small. but selling volatility generally...
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    War!

    The rationale behind the Supreme Court decision revolves around the understanding that, as the opinion notes, "the exclusionary rule has its limitations." The meaning of the rule is to protect persons from unreasonable searches and seizures aimed at gathering evidence, not searches and seizures...
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    Record Heat and Cold Expose Climate Alarmists' Bias

    WON'T SOMEONE THINK OF THE ALIGATORS!
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    Record Heat and Cold Expose Climate Alarmists' Bias

    All those Disney lagoons will be filled with salt water!
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    Taleb: Skin in the Game --- Book review

    I don’t know how much money he made. His returns (as published in the mainstream press don’t make sense). But I do know he shut down his first hedge fund for poor returns. And I do know people who have studied under him at NYU. None of them thought highly of him.
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