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lol SPY. Did you trade any CPI futures?

You understand the mechanics... how can you explain his (trade conspiracy of) being long SN-calls, short index calls, long shares as a "hedge"? I saw his YT channel. This guy is a price-maker? He's got a bunch of Fibonacci sht on his charts.

*Constrained as in zero leverage, not on capacity. Even if it was a thing.

I can't believe it. Long dispersion is short index vol/long component vol "street" vol. One of these guys is r*tarded. You buy SN-vol and yeah, you can gamma-trade the vol with spot, as you're locking in excess returns over the SN/index vol-switch(swap) or whatever. The index side is...

This dude made all of this sht up on the fly. It's not even a trade. Practically, dispersion (done right) is massively constrained as it's hyper-inefficient and really only done on huge books at places like CIG. Large MMer books. He reminds me of the guy in Blackhat (movie) that runs a FCM...

You can trade SPX vol for $0.5 per side. 100 index multiplier. ES vol is going to run at least 1.5 per side. 50 index multiplier. Please check my math, but I think $3/side is worser.

I don't get it. This Kramer guy is a bot. They are long SN calls, short index (form of disp). They are also long SN spot to hedge? Hedge what? How much size, inter-mkt could you possible commit to something this stupid? Spooz vols have dropped more than components, absent earnings-crush...

So WTF don't they simply offer a digital struck at consensus? 0.15. People can actually decipher the payout. Make consensus the hook and push a 0.15 figure and bets are refunded on that figure less comms. Funding this place is an IQ test.

I am going to vent here, again. https://kalshi.com/markets/cpicore/us-core-inflation#cpicore-23jul Core CPI >0.1 Buy So ofc I paid 52/100 for the thing. Resolved to the hundredth (confirmed) so, ostensibly, I earn from 0.11 to 0.19 (as there are range binaries above; 0.2, 0.3, etc) OK, so...

$1MM properly mangled.

You HF has excellent sell side coverage. CNBC is the sht.

Also be careful with funding as it sent my ACH deposit 4X. They are having issues so perhaps start with a small test deposit. You'll know within 30 seconds.

Per Luana in email: "We use the single digit decimal reported by the BLS. If it is 0.14 the BLS will round down to 0.1, so >0.1 would settle to NO. If it's 0.16 it would be round to 2, and >0.1 would settle to YES." Me: be aware that the hook is on the 0.05 figure (0.05, 0.15, 0.25) etc. I had...

What are the payout rules on the Core CPI? Does the ">0.1" binary payout at >0.11 or does it require a figure of >0.2? If the latter that's not clear in the rules.

Sim. You cut off the brown border. Fire up MSFT Paint.

The @Kalshi Core >0.1 binary is underpriced. It's a gift at 50/100. Vinny, did you buy those three shares of QQQ yet?

Has nothing to do with the 1st A. He was involved in a conspiracy to enable fake electors, halt voting for 10 days, and conspired to seize voting machines. You fucking tool.

Total BS.

On wifi at ~60ft from the router. You should get gigabit.

lol you can't trade futures with that latency. relocate from Somalia.