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Where did I say that?

ByLo, I have no idea how this turns out. A deep recession a la 1980/82 or a depression with GDP falling 15%? The thing is: How does knowing if it's either alternative help me today make money today? My "gut feeling" was completely wrong all the way down (and you were right with your calls)...

Get off your lazy ass and do your own homework. a) Search function http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/search.php?s= b) Google Schiff, there are 1000s of free articles c) Buy his books and read

Earnings will be down from here? Unemployment on the rise? Unfortunately, I think there is very little "edge" coming with that information. At some point (in 6 months or in 6 years or in 16 years) the market will start a new bull market, way before all the bad news is out: Earnings growth...

Most people that left IB went to Bear Stearns and then to Lehman Brothers :cool:

Why not just buy his books? There you can translate every word.

Here is a pic of 1930 Time Square. Looks all nice and dandy doesn't it? No evidence of a crisis visible, is there? The people walking in the picture had no idea what chaos and despair many of them would be in to over the next decade :cool: http://www.123posters.com/photo/pp0035.htm

The underlying index (REIT index - IYR) is 45.5% below it's 200 day moving average. Not a great risk reward setup for shorting IMO. Use very very tight stops.

Excellent post there, Topsurfi.

I know Japanese JGB are far from a picture perfect playbook for the US treasury bonds, but still worth a look IMO. Japanese gov. bond yields started imploding after their bubble burst and then kept creeping lower and stayed low for a long time, even until today as 10y JGB yield 1.375%. I...

That's an excellent read. Thanks for posting.

http://www.nationalnet.com (check "our infrastructure") http://www.rackspace.com

Those ABN shareholders must be laughing all the way to the bank.

You know why Tradestation is so popular? It's not because they offer such brilliant software or amazingly powerful technical indicators. It's because they offer years of historic intraday data. With TS, you get a complete package. Within MINUTES you can backtest intraday strategies on 1...

@ tyrant * You are right, if you look at land prices for the entire country and look at annualized price appreciation it didn't look like an outright bubble. However, prices still went up in a straight line all the way up to 90s. "Low volatility" invites leveraged speculation, because it...

That's one HECK of a beautiful place, especially design wise. How much is it?

a) Land and real estate prices went up 300-400% in Japan from the 70s to 1990. b) Japan saw 40 years of growth. Institutions (Insurances, mortgage companies, banks) loaded up their books with stocks and real estate from 1950 to 1990. In the late 80s, profit gains in financial companies came...

The long only global mutual fund up 13% in October - When global markets crashed? Smells like a scam.

Look, don't you see that's not a good way to risk your money? Going into positions without a proper plan how to exit when it goes against you? Remember the steel stock thread? I think it was in the summer. I said steel stocks looked tempting for a move higher. I had like 300k in all the...

What about your SMH position? Added 'for a quick trade' but never found an exit? Because you don't use stop losses? Of course, you never have losing trades that way. Your entire account is just littered with dead bodies of old deep in the red trades that you refuse to close LIKE A TRADER WOULD: