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It's very simple... How many aircraft carriers does the United States have commissioned currently? More than the rest of the world combined... 'Nuff said.

To paraphrase a famous saying: “If you owe China $100 billion that’s your problem. If you owe China $18 trillion, that’s China’s problem.”

YEEEHAW, PARDNER!!!!! Now we're getting somewhere... Just so that we're on the same page, would you care to define the weights that would allow me to compute an index or would you be happy for me to use mine (I will use equal weights)? Also, should I use real or nominal GDP growth or are you...

I never claimed that somebody large or secret shorted USDJPY at 80. I would have no idea whether the people who did it made "big bucks". The point of my simple exercise was to obtain from you a definition of the terms that you fling about in such a cavalier fashion. Clearly, I have failed...

Whatever, mate... I am not desperate to prove anything to an Internet audience. I am even less motivated (if I could imagine such a state) to provide evidence etc in order to prove anything to you. As to embarrassment, you're making me laugh once again (thank you for this; I need the...

Nah, was just busy during the w/e, is all... Don't you worry your pretty little head, I am still here, still waiting for you to actually respond to any of my questions.

Against my better judgement, let me speak on this matter one last time... Firstly, an exotics book will, obviously, have swaptions and swaps in it, among other derivatives. That's simply a function of how they hedge the various risks in the book. This in no way implies that the exotics desk...

Right, so you still cannot answer a single specific question, even a trivial one from my last post... We have nothing further to discuss.

In which of my posts did I make any claims about large hedge funds doing anything with USDJPY? Feel free to quote me or even just provide a post number...

It has to do with how people, broadly, make decisions... So it has a LOT of relevance to trading, really.

Whatever... I grow tired of your nonsense. I'll move on.

I am sure you're right... I just ain't getting through, it appears. I would be very curious to see if the other members of the forum community think that I am expressing myself with insufficient clarity or maybe that my queries are unreasonable. Maybe it's not volpunter, it's me...

Ha, for a general guide to Kahneman's life's work, expressed in everyday terms, you should read his excellent book "Thinking, Fast and Slow".

Behavioural economics has a lot of ideas that could be a bit more interesting than EMH. The most famous one is "prospect theory" of Kahneman and Tversky.

Your name isn't Howard, by chance?

Yeah, it's been pretty emotional...

Stop making me laugh... Answer at least one of my questions, if you want to continue with this discussion. You specifically referred to "currency levels, yield levels, equity levels" in your post #264 and "GDP growth, consumer wealth, housing prices" in your post #266. Which of those things...

I meant stop conversing with me... If you so desire, you can continue to spout your nonsense to your heart's content and other people can listen to you as much as they want. That is my last post on this subject here.

You provide me with my daily dose of entertainment, but I have grown tired of your incessant silliness. Pls stop talking.

Whatever... Like I said, pls stop talking. You have no clue.