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  1. globalarbtrader

    Short survey for market research regarding Real-time Futures market data

    There is no point getting low latency data if you're not using it for live trading...! For all these other purposes you describe you don't need low latency: - backtesting, simulation: this is self evident - charting with manual trading - the time taken for a human being to look at the chart...
  2. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    I'm seeing a spread of 0.005 on another feed which suggests it might be an issue with IB GAT
  3. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    It can happen, I've seen it occasionally before. Unusual for this length of time though, which suggests it was stale data maybe or something else weird. GAT
  4. globalarbtrader

    Why quants don't get paid

    That's true of most things though isn't it. Weirdly nobody is willing to pay much for articles of 50 words or less. GAT
  5. globalarbtrader

    Why quants don't get paid

    Where I used to work the annual turnover was less than 10% That's probably unusual though GAT
  6. globalarbtrader

    Why quants don't get paid

    Hi I wrote the first article mentioned but not the others (check the byline). I do get paid, not very much, but I can assure you I would personally never write 'uninformed industry gossip'. I can't comment on the other articles. What specifically do you disagree with in the article? GAT
  7. globalarbtrader

    Sanity check on sharpe ratio calculation please

    Just to say you have not optimised and sure not many parameters but if the parameters are based on your market experience you have done what I call tacit fitting. Its extremely likely your backtest results are optimistic. GAT
  8. globalarbtrader

    Sanity check on sharpe ratio calculation please

    .... you can do it purely out of sample if its mechanical GAT
  9. globalarbtrader

    Sanity check on sharpe ratio calculation please

    That's what fitting is... so many ways.... grid search is the simplest. GAT
  10. globalarbtrader

    Sanity check on sharpe ratio calculation please

    What you propose is in sample fitting and so bad. Sorry GAT
  11. globalarbtrader

    Sanity check on sharpe ratio calculation please

    Yes it matters. A strategy earning 10% with 1% costs is a lot safer than one earning 60% with 51% costs because costs are certain and returns aren't. You MUST know your costs or you can't analyse your returns properly. And we can't help you check to see if your costs are realistic. GAT
  12. globalarbtrader

    Sanity check on sharpe ratio calculation please

    How much are your annual costs in your backtest as % of capital per year? What's your annual standard deviation of returns? There is no evidence to backup your intuition. Apart from binary options spot FX is the biggest rip off out there. GAT
  13. globalarbtrader

    Sanity check on sharpe ratio calculation please

    Good - now you're thinking cynically. FX... hmmm I've never found a strategy that was profitable in retail FX as the costs are way, way too high. So I'd be even more skeptical. GAT
  14. globalarbtrader

    Sanity check on sharpe ratio calculation please

    First you need some accurate SR figures. I'm not sure exactly what you've done, but that doesn't look like a SR 4.0 curve - that's going to be very close to a straight line. And also extremely likely to be overfitted to hell. I'd say the good bits are about SR 2.0 at best, and overall about 1.7...
  15. globalarbtrader

    Sanity check on sharpe ratio calculation please

    Do you think *any* of this is statistically significant? GAT
  16. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    It's everything, so yes it's plausible i'm being flattered by my equity hedge. Don't forget I'm only about 60% TF even in my futures bucket, so other stuff could be helping there. I'll break it down as usual in April. My hunch is that your hunch is wrong :) GAT GAT
  17. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    I'm down about 4% YTD but up about 2.5% on the tax year that I usually analyse. GAT
  18. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Recent poor performance is not statistically significant. GAT
  19. globalarbtrader

    How do you pay yourself?

    Weird seeing this old thread pop up again. I pay myself a 100% performance fee for returns over the high watermark. This means I don't pay myself anything for months and months. So it's only viable if you have (a) a job, (b) several years of living expenses in cash or (c) other investments...
  20. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Yeah, but I started life as an old school options market maker, and I'm pretty dated as well :-) There isn't really a equivalent to one of the many books on trading systems for options, maybe I should write one :-) Failing that I always direct people to my friends home page...
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