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  1. L

    Poll: What comes next: $2750 SP500 or $3200 SP500?

    Maybe things are overblown, but the real effects of this in the economy is already tangible.
  2. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Looks heavy. Open gap at 3000 (my initial target this morning) which is also 4 % down.
  3. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Yeah - you're right. I had a bearish bias this morning and thought the second leg down would go further. With the strong movement up - I did however switch to a long bias for the day. I am however still bearish long term and think more downside is due, but like you say - with large range...
  4. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Stopped out for + 10,00 points of profit. I still maintain a long bias for the day and think we're just seeing a deep pullback before the next leg up, but you never know in these markets, so not interested in going all the way back to B/E.
  5. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Comfortably long as we long as we don't dip much below 67.
  6. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Eliminating risk with a stop at 3056 = + 1,0. Well in the money now, but won't micro manage myself out of this one. I don't see any major turning points above until 3087. EDIT: Maybe I'm micro-managing myself out of the trade now, but putting the stop at 3065 = + 10,0.
  7. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    New HOD on NQ. Careful shorting this. Remember that we're down a lot already. Can easily go up to 3127 and end the day unchanged...
  8. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    TICK is trending higher and NQ almost at the HOD again. Maybe I'm talking my book - but not a strong short signal to me.
  9. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Double bottom at the Open - let's see if that can hold for a strong leg up from here. If not - maybe 3000 below by the Close?
  10. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Double top and TL breached - but found support at the 50 %. Trying a long from 3055 with a 10 point stop. EDIT: Target would be 3127.
  11. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Can we see 3127 today...? Currently double topping like yesterday at this time.
  12. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Missed the high entry, but I'm thinking this zone should be a good entry for a swing short into the next down leg. Setting up a huge trading range here between 2850-3150 on the daily chart. If not new lows (main hypothesis), I'm thinking we should at least see a push down to test the lows...
  13. L

    Trading the Indices on Fundamentals

    I'm not surprised you took profits on your short and not surprised if you're playing a nice long from here too, but a bit surprised if you're now 'fundamentally' long. Just in my small social circle of friends here in Norway - most foreign business trips are cancelled throughout May for now. I...
  14. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Mind me asking what kind of stops you used on those? And what stops you normally use? I've been both burned/blessed by my tight stops since last week. Mostly burned, i.e., stopped out and market continuing in my (predicted/anticipated) direction. Currently my standard stop is 5 points and I...
  15. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Nah. I'm flat. Usually am when I make posts here. Took a profit early this morning and called it a day. A good 20 points above the prior HOD already. :) Need another 40 if we are to take out yesterday's HOD. Not what I was expecting for the day, but shouldn't surprise anyone at this point.
  16. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Well - I think it depends on your statistics. For what I use - it can be quite accurate at times while at other times - the signals are conflicting. That's what was the case today. Got a new HOD there - no surprise. Would be a bit more surprised if today's not an Inside Day by the Close, but...
  17. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Could be, but you didn't say why it's unlikely. I have statistical data - which tells me there's a decent chance both are set for the day. But it's a mixed picture, hence why I said it was a cointoss either way. :)
  18. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Why is it unlikely?
  19. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    You did very well. Disagree with the latter comment though. Following that logic - the market won't move without news. Markets still trade fairly technically. That's not to say it's easy in real time while risking real money in these fast markets.
  20. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    I feel pretty confident we're looking at an Inside Day today. In fact - it's not even unlikely we have the HOD/LOD set for this session. Range expansion either way seems like a cointoss at this point, but if someone held a knife against my throat, I'd favour another push down, but certainly...
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