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Good observation. If you look look at historical patterns (of course, now could be different) then we needed more than just fear from hikes. We needed - actual rate hikes, not just fear of hikes and (!) - imploding corporate profit margins to actually tank (~20%) historically rather...

I love no risk markets!!! Time to leverage up again, if the media or expert analysts says there's no risk one can't go wrong!

The sad thing is that the Muslims have very good reasons to think the exact same about us westerners.

If you refuse to sell your core holdings, maybe just buy some puts should the Spooz blow though its 100 MA or 200 MA. At the money, QQQQ or SPY puts (depending on what your portfolio correlates most with) can work wonders. Just a little insurance to keep you in the game for the long term. This...

Funny thing is if you look at TIPS in the last 2-3 weeks I see no underlying change in inflation expectations. Accordingly, a few weeks ago, fed fund futures were forecasting three possible cuts by year's end. Now however, the odds favor at least one hike. Go figure... To spin it further...

Hope you're doing well despite of being frustrated by the markets (sounds like you are). Take some rest, come back and just try something else. There's always something working in the markets... Good luck!

Nope what? Why not answer the question?

And Leon's post wasn't full of sarcasm? I didn't mock him at all, read his post and read my reply. Not sure if you understood anything but to be honest I don't care much ... it wasn't directed at you was it!

Look who's talking :p

1. I agreed with Leon, I didn't disagree 2. Now who's the baby?

:confused: What are you talking about?

I agree Leon, very intriguing, thanks for the post I didn't think of selling calls yet for financing the puts!! Awesome risk reward on your proposed trade, it's self financing! This market is finished and will never ever go higher again there's no way to lose on this trade! Thanks again.

Just go all out on your account with at-the-money long dated SPY puts. You're gonna be rich (if you're right). Good luck.

rabuf Registered: Jun 2007 Posts: 1 Gotta love fake nicks registered for the sole purpose of flaming people.

Pic of Frank after he's done with the pigs on ET:

LMAO! Watch out, they might label you as being "not a real trader" now!!!!!!!! Careful!!!! :p

That would mean you anticipate rate hikes in the mid-term. Rate hike odds implied in FF futures are currently running at 0% for this year. Also rate cut odds for this year dropped to 0% after Bernankes statements (hence the move in the bond markets). The markets currently "think" rates will be...

Currently I own some shares in Dexion Equity, Castle and CreInvest. I owned Altin but it started trading at a slight premium so I will just be patient until it drops back to a discount of 5-8%. I am looking at GSDO (Goldman Sachs) but I am waiting for it build a history, it just IPOd a short...