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When did they not "guess right"? Can you please list 5 big trendfollowing CTAs with assets > $1bln that "didn't guess right" in the last 10 years and blew up or went through DDs >50%? Thank you. What you call "guessing" is simply entering a directional trade with a defined stop; trend...

Another urban legend. The monetary base was increased during the great depression and there was no inflation to speak of for decades.

You're not looking for a software, you're looking for a datafeed. Look for historic US intraday options data. Do your research and post it here.

Short GS + MS. GL all.

Charging it all to the companies? That's what I call perks. http://cosmos.bcst.yahoo.com/up/player/popup/?rn=3906861&cl=11903000&ch=4226713&src=news

What kind of explanation do you think you can get? Somebody bought a ton of 3.0 puts. Maybe somebody is short C and sold puts against his position? Hard to say if this is a directional bet.

But it's not all right to post fantasy "trades" and then magically ALWAYS CLAIM YOU CAME OUT WITH A PROFIT even after positions went 50% against you. When asked, you always claim you "exited right before the move down" or "added more at $60, then exited at $61.50 at a tidy profit", even when...

Wow, this guy must have practicing all night. A lie every other minute.

I'd love to see an equity curve of that list 2003 - 2009. 1.5x SPX beta all the way up and then all the way down :cool:

Funny. 2 weeks ago, ECB member Jürgen Stark: ECB's Stark Warns of Aggressive Monetary Policy, Reiterates No EMU Credit Crunch CEP News, Canada - Jan 21, 2009 Stark also reiterated that there is no credit crunch in the euro zone, noting that bank lending levels increased notably over...

Daal, good point. I guess we all look at evidence through our own filters and accept what fits with our subjective perception of reality and dismiss what doesn't. Human nature.

5500 would "just" be a 22% rally from here. VDAX is at ~37. Totally possible.

:cool:

hmm I think we disagree. The Japanese did exactly what you proposed in 1990/1991/1992. Nothing. In fact, they failed to admit until much later that they were in trouble at all. It didn't do them much good. They wanted to just let the "market clean up itself". It didn't. Banks didn't pull...

I think you're distorting things a little. It's not like the Japanese are in trouble today because the Government acted "swiftly" and "decisively" right off the bat in 1990 to clean up toxic bank balance sheets and recapitalize the banking system. The Japanese took years until they started to...

How many of these offshore shell companies are really Americans, investing in a "hedge fund" using a fund/trust registered in the Caribbean. That in itself is not illegal, but how many of those guys openly declared taxes on their "gains"? Where did the money come from in the first place? I am...

It's human nature and one of our biggest fallacies to try to connect news and the macroeconomic backdrop with daily stock gyrations.

What alternative do you have for a better multi-asset multi-currency brokerage, same or better fees and shortable book? Thank you. Case closed.

Claymore/Delta Global Shipping ETF: Ticker "SEA"

German EUREX CTO trying to reboot exchange servers :cool: <object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/kBVmfIUR1DA&hl=en&fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed...