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  1. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Welcome to the party This blog post is exactly what you need https://qoppac.blogspot.co.uk/2016/03/diversification-and-small-account-size.html GAT
  2. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Actually it's the median, but yes. Exactly GAT
  3. globalarbtrader

    Red alert, stop trading

    Tweeting is a nice idea but I personally prefer using email, which you get 'out of the box' on a linux system. More on what checks you can do in my blog here. GAT
  4. globalarbtrader

    Red alert, stop trading

    Yes. Lots. GAT
  5. globalarbtrader

    Red alert, stop trading

    Anyone who runs an automated system without the ability to shut it down quickly is extremely irresponsible. S*** happens basically. These guys weren't over leveraged: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2012-08-02/knight-shows-how-to-lose-440-million-in-30-minutes GAT
  6. globalarbtrader

    Red alert, stop trading

    My trading server is local so I can always pull the plug*, but if you're on some cloud machine you may not have this option... GAT * it's under my desk and I have sometimes kicked it out accidentally, or one of my kids has decided their laptop needs plugging in instead....
  7. globalarbtrader

    Red alert, stop trading

    I have scripts that I can run to pause all trading (which wouldn't liquidate), another to close everything etc. That assumes the IB API and my execution code are still working. Next fail safe: If you are using the IB gateway and you can open a 'web trader' or TWS session then your IB gateway...
  8. globalarbtrader

    IB native python API for dummies

    Strange. Doesn't happen for me with chrome on my Samsung android phone. The site is hosted by google, so hopefully they are aware of the problem and can fix it. GAT
  9. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    No expert, but this is the way I see it. The following should be obvious: Negative correlation is GREAT if you're running a long only strategy, especially if leveraged eg risk parity (Because... diversification.) Positive correlation is GREAT if you're running a spread or cointegration...
  10. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Correct. Could do it on a rolling basis of course GAT
  11. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Of some relevance to discussions about performance expectations, todays blog post https://qoppac.blogspot.co.uk/2018/02/cta-allocations-qe-meta-prediction-and.html GAT
  12. globalarbtrader

    Oh no, not another python backtester...

    1) In theory yes, but you'd need to write your own code to do it. Adding it to the package is on my (long) to do list 2) No, they are used even if you don't optimise 3) No. system.portfolio.get_actual_position() GAT
  13. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Well carry for a start GAT
  14. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    In futures momentum seems to stop working for holding periods of less than a couple of weeks. GAT
  15. globalarbtrader

    Oh no, not another python backtester...

    I'm currently working on code for all this stuff, hopefully will commit soon. GAT
  16. globalarbtrader

    Florida Man Who Raised $100 Million To Short The VIX Likely Returning To Old Job At Target

    The roll would mean you would consistently lose money GAT
  17. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    No, a bad use of time IMHO. I'd be surprised if you could get significantly better out of sample performance from the ragtag bunch of simple trend rules I use myself (I've seen people try, and fail, at this). You're better off diversifying your system to different instruments and different...
  18. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Vol Damm autocorrect GAT
  19. globalarbtrader

    Florida Man Who Raised $100 Million To Short The VIX Likely Returning To Old Job At Target

    Yes a geeky point here is that because this thing will always blow up the expected final wealth is always zero and Kelly optimal bet size is also zero (would be different in a portfolio of course) GAT
  20. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    A good reason to trade further out on the curve for the cold futures and eurodollar is that the changes in vol are much smaller GAT
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