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  1. stevegee58

    Opec wants compensation if climate deal cuts oil use

    Technology moves on and sooner or later new energy tech will be productized, rendering petroleum obsolete. Oil producing countries have allowed themselves to become fat and complacent with all the easy money rolling in. Easy money seems like a good thing, but it's actually corrosive to...
  2. stevegee58

    how bout those futures-anyone watching them right now?

    Dayum, you're right...
  3. stevegee58

    Can linear regression analysis really predict the future?

    I want to make sure I'm interpreting this correctly. The difference between a day's close price and its pivot for that day is very frequently very small?
  4. stevegee58

    Americans' tax burden is lightest in developed world

    I've been telling my family and friends this for years but no one believed me. They're too busy listening to conservative talk radio to think straight.
  5. stevegee58

    Can linear regression analysis really predict the future?

    That was an excellent paper. Not terribly long but full of interesting ideas.
  6. stevegee58

    internet down ! aaaarrrrrgh ! ! ! ! ! - need quotes

    +1 on that. If you're eventually going to trade full time, you need to treat the matter as a business. (Good) Businesses have backup networks, data storage etc. if it's critical to their operation. Having a backup plan for power, network and computer are critical to a trading business...
  7. stevegee58

    direct statistical trading a "clearly" defined approach by NTW31

    Interesting. What are the steps in the curve cause by? Increasing lot size?
  8. stevegee58

    Newbie question

    Anything more than $1.50 per contract is highway robbery.
  9. stevegee58

    "Beauty queen" turned insider analyst

    What has been seen cannot be un-seen. :cool:
  10. stevegee58

    "Beauty queen" turned insider analyst

    Ugh, she looks like a dyke. :D
  11. stevegee58

    Straddles

    LOL that's how Nick Leeson brought down Barings Bank. :D
  12. stevegee58

    Straddles

    BTW I hate straddles since you have both theta and vega working against you. I much prefer trades where I'm selling some premium.
  13. stevegee58

    Learning to read Price Action with P&F Charting

    Hey dentist, what did you base your 27.9 target on?
  14. stevegee58

    Straddles

    You're basically predicting that a big move will occur some time in the future and it's going to be significant enough to overwhelm your initial debit. The number of months out you go in expiry month should reflect when you expect the big move. This sort of thing is usually done on...
  15. stevegee58

    Adding a database...

    One obvious consideration is how much data you're storing. I use SQLite which works fine for my purposes. I have over 2 years of tick data in csv files for EURUSD and some other forex pairs. They're around 4-5 gigs each. They imported into a SQLite data with no problem and the data is much...
  16. stevegee58

    Learning to read Price Action with P&F Charting

    I'm actually quite familiar with P&F charts, but which "holy grail" posts are you talking about? There are literally hundreds of them, mostly jokes and unrelated to each other. Haha, never mind. HolyGrail is the name of the OP of this thread. :D
  17. stevegee58

    Selling credit spreads money management

    With trading you have to decide how much pain you're willing to endure if all your stops are hit. With option credit spreads, it's how much pain you're willing to endure if they all go in the money. If your max risk per credit spread is 2% and you have 50 of them open, you'd be risking 100%...
  18. stevegee58

    BWolinsky Trading

    Are the 3 projections basically linear regressions of 3 different lengths? A quick drawing of LR lines seems to indicate that they're long-, intermediate- and short-term LR lines.
  19. stevegee58

    Trading the SPY as a newbie?

    There are folks who trade iron condors every month on SPY. Because it's an ETF and not an individual stock, its volatility is more muted and therefore lends itself more to sideways strategies. It should be possible to come up with 1:1 risk:reward IC trades that win 60-70% of the time.
  20. stevegee58

    direct statistical trading a "clearly" defined approach by NTW31

    What're we lookin' at here, nuke?
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