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  1. M

    Sen. Bunning right on about Bubble Ben Bernanke!!!!!

    IMHO, a politician's career is one constant battle for re-election...
  2. M

    Trading CDS

    I'm still here, ain't I?
  3. M

    What caused the spike in EUR/USD and S&P at 12:30 ?

    *BERNANKE: US ECONOMY FACES FORMIDABLE HEADWINDS *BERNANKE SAYS MOST LIKELY OUTCOME IS `MODERATE' RECOVERY PACE *BERNANKE SAYS FOMC `STILL LOOKING AT EXTENDED PERIOD' *BERNANKE SAYS JOB MARKET REMAINS WEAK *BERNANKE: CREDIT REMAINS TIGHT FOR MANY BORROWERS Everyone back to...
  4. M

    Trading CDS

    Unless, of course, the neighbor in question happens to own a gun and renders the contract (and you) null and void.
  5. M

    Trading CDS

    That is, in fact, what's happening, but it's happening quite slowly. There's a lot of technical issues, so, for the moment, at least, the mkt is mainly OTC.
  6. M

    Trading CDS

    You are sorely mistaken... Trading an OTC product, such as CDS, is always more difficult to execute than something like a put option on MSFT, regardless of whether one is selling or buying. Do things like ISDA, CSA and collateral ring a bell? Of course, if you truly believe that it's that...
  7. M

    Trading CDS

    A dreadful thing to contemplate... I can't imagine how these people deal with all the logistics of trading CDS with a retail client.
  8. M

    Help me understand.

    In your business have you experienced inflation since the beginning of the crisis?
  9. M

    Anyone having any luck with short term carry trading?

    My mind boggles... The concept of short-term carry trading doesn't compute.
  10. M

    Hyperinflation effect on short positions.

    But surely you would agree that the losses on your calls will be nominal, rather than real? In fact, on balance, there's no reason to assume a priori that you'll suffer real losses at all (obviously, will depend on the specific positions). Furthermore, it's great to be a nominal borrower in...
  11. M

    Could someone explain these numbers to me?

    Here you go: http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2009/12/if-economy-lost-jobs-why-did.html
  12. M

    It's much better to buy slightly OTM options than ATM ones?

    This is a silly statement for a whole variety of reasons... So what if you can buy more options? If I have a 100 bucks, I can own a lot more pennies than quarters. The value of my 100 bucks doesn't change. You don't get the right to call Black and Scholes morons until you invent an...
  13. M

    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    The ECB doesn't have a dual mandate like the Fed, so "inflation is the only needle in their compass" (say it with your best nasal French accent). Their stance also makes a bit more sense in the European context, as the labor mkt is structured quite differently. All taken together, it...
  14. M

    Sen. Bunning right on about Bubble Ben Bernanke!!!!!

    I also happen to think that Sen Bunning is either a) clueless, or b) trying to score some cheap political points, or both.
  15. M

    It's much better to buy slightly OTM options than ATM ones?

    Off-topic, but Ophir is a fantastically cool name. Biblical, yet not obvious. Kudos!
  16. M

    It's much better to buy slightly OTM options than ATM ones?

    Are you Stefen Choy, then? There's a couple of other BBG articles quoting LiveVol. That's pretty good for you guys, credibility-wise...
  17. M

    Where's deflation ? The Fed's double standard

    I am with Kass on this, in terms of the dangers of deflation... Moreover, defining inflation/deflation as change in money stock (which aggregate, btw?) is completely misguided, in my view. Especially so in a global modern economy.
  18. M

    PGM vs Pt futures?

    I think it has something to do with the NAV cap for the ETN (as someone pointed out on another forum) and the suspension of "further sales and issuance"... So while there's no supply, there appears to be a lot of demand.
  19. M

    Need a dialogue on this ECO101...

    Resources are obviously scarce, in an instantaneous sense, which is all that matters for decision-making by economic agents.
  20. M

    ECB sees 2010 inflation of 0.9% to 1.7%

    Nobody cares about inflation... It's all about the liquidity provisions.
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