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Looks like it didn't peak in '08...

While the dynamics are quite complicated, I think the biggest factor is the one mentioned by ET above. Prices of crude and other commodities were predicated on particular assumptions about EM (mostly China) growth. When people started to doubt these expectations, commodities reacted.

While I can easily question some of the logic, I can't really disagree with the conclusion. I am not sure there's anything exceedingly novel and exciting about the idea that you don't want to own either the really safe assets which yield very little or the really risky assets that might yield a...

Well, like I said, being short treasuries has been a painful ride...

Your PNL here is always going to be premium received less the cost of closing the position. And yes, you should read a book.

Yes, you receive the premium, but, in exchange, you get a position. Cash flow and PNL are two very different concepts. Think about it a bit and you'll figure it out, I'm sure.

I tried, man... I ain't got no fingers no more.

Yeah, but same applies to Greece and look at them... They just managed to use and abuse their EU membership.

Maybe Yellen is nuts... But let's not forget where U.S. inflation was running in 2008. Just sayin'...

You got it a little wrong... The 2nd time you mention "Premium required for Buying an Option" (third item on the list), it sounds wrong. The first item on your list is the correct answer to this. As to the last question you ask, you are very confused indeed. Why would you expect that the PNL...

The international debt mkts don't have a lot of appetite for South American and African sovereign debt, given its propensity to default. That means that govts in those regions are not capable of issuing a lot and thus can't have a high debt/GDP.

http://blog.fundx.com/blog/2012/11/29/how-bond-funds-make-distributions/

Greeks are primarily descriptive quantities... They're mainly used for risk management and PNL attribution. That said, one way you can use the Greeks for trade selection is in the context of scenario analysis and/or stress testing. For instance, for a particular option structure you're...

There is a lot of literature on these types of strategies... Sounds like it's a similar approach to "constant mix".

You should backtest it and see how it performs...

If my understanding of the rules is correct, such a fill would be in violation of the broker's fiduciary duty of best execution. At the very least, the broker would have to acknowledge the inherent conflict of interest and its possible repercussions.

If I am not mistaken, his "fail-safe" recession indicator has been flashing red for the past 5 years, at least.

WTF, this is insane... If you're invested in this POS, run for the hills.

The best way to hedge exposure to Nasdaq is to reduce/unwind the position.

Well, good luck with your creative planning, mate...