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No kidding, i had a "professional" money manager dollar cost average me into one of Washinton Mutuals Stock funds over the couse of the year. The "parking" place was an intermediate term bond fund. The year was 1994. Ouch. Sp500 was up 2% if i remember. "An idiot can advise a moron" . That one...

I say discharge them from the bondage of debt and allow them to buy houses....again. Or at least fiddle with the lending ratios! Grandma Fannie is up to her old tricks so i am told. Bahhh.

Next crisis the BRIC's new trade and currency agreements along with development and liquidity banks will be tested. Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth. I have no opinion on this as change is constant but it takes time.

Not advising here as i am not qualified but, if you believe 10 year rates will rise, you may also believe that will be due in part at least, to the predicted normalization of rates and the ending of ZIRP. If so then look at a eurodollar futures contract( 3 month LIBOR). A contract for a...

My 02 cents is that the fed controls short term rates. There is no uncertainty to that. It is less certain that the market will respond to fed policy further out on the curve. This could be another conundrum, circa 2005ish , with a curve flat and possibly inverted if fed funds raised. Can anyone...

EDZ2019 or similar to express long term view on short yerm rates. 3 months.

http://ir.cboe.com/press-releases/2014/sep-04-2014a.aspx Is this going to attract volume or will it remain obscure?

I am long your post count vs. short SP500 and expect you to trend nicely.

Jeez sjfan, Smart as hell, a professional, 1059 posts and zero "likes". WTF? Its the least i can do.

Why neutralize well behaved , repetitively mean reverting spread with a volatility or dollar hedge ratio that causes the spread to diverge, or, dampens the variability of the excusions about the mean? The chart of the neutralized spread does not look good, test or measure good. The non...

Get to drive a cool car around for a while. Whats the downside?

If you study each days treasury, currency,commodity and equity markets for several countries,each day,for the last 20 years and start to believe you understand them then that is the time to begin to lean on pure price action due to your vast information deficit.

1) USD up 2) high real interst rates in US 3) positive US interest differentials to other developed nations. 4) capital appreciation on equity, debt, real estate in the US "A giant sucking sound." Ross Perot.

Jem, Would you explain your 3rd point about the relationships between money creation, taxes and reserve currency if you get a chance? Excellent thread!

To defend my ignorant comment a while back "where are the 800 or so liquid spreads", I know of and can follow the hundreds of spreads in just the ED complex (and for your info there is NO volatility in single contract ED flies...think about it! ) What i meant was that i would want a source for...

Blowing up a balloon is a good analogy to trend and you will never do it the same. And, at the end of blowing up 100 for your kids party then they become a bitch to blow up.

Bone has said hundreds of liquid spreads are presented in his course. There are a couple recent threads (with low participation) discussing liquid, correlated and coint. spreads. Most seem to be intra-market ED,AG,Energy,Stock indices and a few such as oil/heating oil. Where are the...

What does a large institutional buyer do when the small fast speculators and technicians,who front ran a report , and , were able to move price away from a liquidity area on light volume into an illiquid area? Now the big player wants in.

When i have some time i will try to work up some charts of calander spreads and flys. I will post them in dollars varying around margin (low) for these contracts. It may help myself and others to see "whats in it for you" . Of course timeframe is a major influence there.

Ok,well he said "i can stop inflation in 15 minutes" so before his buddies come out defending him here... Well you understand what i meant. Opinion aside, just look at a 1 year chart of EDZ2019 for an idea how market expectations of short term Interest rates five years out are changing...