Except corporate earnings are bad, Samsung profit down 61%, LG profit down 91%, Jeffries profit down 51%, come this Friday big names are starting to report, that is basis of bear theme. Earnings estimates are -4.1%, P/E will have to come down.
I think for a newbie, large required margin is much safer way to practice first. I'd go with IBKR until you are comfortable and consistently profitable. It is very easy to blow up a low margin requirement account.
Financial conditions easing is not what the Fed wants, period. They might surprise you. Keep short positions on and scaling out.
Only time I want to be on the long side is when forward earnings are stabilized and trending up. We solved other two conditions so far: terminal rate around 5%, and...
https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/politics/article/3206035/first-good-news-2023-families-friends-reunite-after-hong-kong-chinese-border-reopens-following-3
I suppose the USDCNH chart looks strong, 7% rally.