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  1. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    out +5
  2. mervyn

    Debt Ceiling Fight 2023

    Unfortunately it is, behinds the smoke and mirror. Empires fall the same way, econoomic, social, culture, and climate. https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/foreign-holdings-treasuries-rise-november-led-by-japan-data-2023-01-18/ Data further showed that holdings of China, the second largest...
  3. mervyn

    Debt Ceiling Fight 2023

    It takes away young teenagers summer jobs, part timers, etc. There are only so many jobs go around, regardless what the surveys tell you.
  4. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    short 3950
  5. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    +10 Very long hold for 10 points, it seems a little consolidation is needed today.
  6. mervyn

    Debt Ceiling Fight 2023

    go shop at whole foods lately? most of the cashiers are senior citizens.
  7. mervyn

    Debt Ceiling Fight 2023

    US is an entity therefore it is subject to credit risk only if it seeks money from other entities, such as individuals/citizens. It is the same you don’t want to lend money to China or Russia, no one else would want to loan money to US. BTW, a country is a business.
  8. mervyn

    Debt Ceiling Fight 2023

    If those three rating firms are not Americans, I’d downgrade the sh*t out of US govt bonds to junk.
  9. mervyn

    Debt Ceiling Fight 2023

    Obviously you don't read much. If you were to tax, tax the wealth, not the income. https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/dataviz/dfa/distribute/table/#quarter:132;series:Net%20worth;demographic:networth;population:all;units:shares Federal Reserve data indicates that as of Q4 2021, the top...
  10. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    we are back to nfp day territory, could be interesting.
  11. mervyn

    China to lose population

    This is nothingburger. In our life time, China still have 1.3 billion at least. India already took the title last year, lot of hungry people to feed.
  12. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    short 3925
  13. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    3917 is poc of the day, few points above that you can safely short.
  14. mervyn

    Woman stabbed teen multiple times on Indiana bus for being Chinese

    By and large, hate crime is committed by whites. Jew, Muslim, etc. Majority hates minority, that is the way it goes.
  15. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    treasury just auctioned 44 day 60 billion, i guess 1 month and half impasse is what we are looking at.
  16. mervyn

    Where do you find volume figures for treasuries?

    TLT is popular.
  17. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Expect small bounce to fill some gaps, while has further rooms to fall.
  18. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Out. perhaps 3881 is in sight.
  19. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Open short at 3945, expecting Asian sell off continues, target 3931-3928.
  20. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    out. let's see what the next trades are.
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