Search results

  1. T

    Selloff

    Are there people here who think that today's up gap might lead to a retreating/selloff? Which sectors/stocks/etfs would be good on the short side in a retreat?
  2. T

    Delta neutral or directionality: which one do you pick?

    Two to three trading days later, NUS Jan 45 calls traded at 0.30 (and possibly even below that price). No draw down, and a gain of 0.45, which is about 30% more than the number 0.35. I would not be surprised if PM still considers his trade of shorting the Jan 30 put some weeks ago (which...
  3. T

    Why the S&P 500 will be much higher in 5 years?

    I would not be surprised if a retreat/selloff develops soon. Are there major issues that would serve to explain/trigger it?
  4. T

    Who's making money today?

    How much would you give from your profits betting on people, than things? I am now looking at BMY at 33.65 area, and my models told me sellers area within 5 cents or less.
  5. T

    Who's making money today?

    Badvestor: What do you think of the short side of BMY?
  6. T

    Russel 2000 might start to crack because of fiscal cliff

    Hajimow: As I wrote in another of your threads(or in response to one of your posts),compared to QQQ and SPY, the behavior of IWM seems to me to be: In a falling market IWM loses less than the SPY which loses less than QQQ. In a rising market IWM does better than SPY which does better than QQQ...
  7. T

    Risk Analysis: short OTM naked call Vs. covered call

    Which do you think involves more risk: short OTM naked call or covered call?
  8. T

    Delta neutral or directionality: which one do you pick?

    Do you remember your favorite bullish stock? NUS. Jan 45 calls are at 0.75 (more than twice 0.35) Could you find the IV and report it here? Also analyze this paper trade and compare to the other trade: - call, 1/2 size for now.
  9. T

    Black Monday - December 31, 2012

    Why did you quit it? Are you implying that others are not making their income buying the bid and selling the ask as you once did?
  10. T

    Delta neutral or directionality: which one do you pick?

    Do you know why they care about risk-adjusted returns? Are your stocks more or less volatile than say SPY? If more by how much? Could it lead to an implicit leverage?
  11. T

    Delta neutral or directionality: which one do you pick?

    Is that the same answer you gave in the other thread or is it the opposite answer? If the answers are opposite, what is your final answer?
  12. T

    Delta neutral or directionality: which one do you pick?

    Why you do not address the volatility question? Let us compare your cushion to a 30inch pillow that you can imagine you have put on your nose as if protecting against a punch. The 30inch might be safe if a gentle woman is doing the punching, but what if it were a Muhammed Ali in his prime...
  13. T

    Why the S&P 500 will be much higher in 5 years?

    Should you not replace IS by WAS?
  14. T

    Why the S&P 500 will be much higher in 5 years?

    The question is when will it be filled: in days, weeks, months, etc?
  15. T

    Delta neutral or directionality: which one do you pick?

    Actually they may not be deep if one factors volty in, i.e. a 30% OTM may not be viewed as deep for a 90% volty stock (SPY has below 16% lately, so a ratio of more than 5 times). I asked in another thread how does the OTM safety cushion is measured in absolute terms-- the response was some...
  16. T

    The Economist - "Going nowhere fast" (article about Hedge Funds)

    The opposite would take place. I did not read the article. Could someone give the conclusion?
  17. T

    Who's making money today?

    That was a great trade! What was the intrinsic when you got in? When do you think MCD is heading to in next 2 to three days?
  18. T

    Black Monday - December 31, 2012

    Would there be a chase?
  19. T

    Black Monday - December 31, 2012

    I went long side of VXX at 27.50. What can you anticipate for my reward and risk?
  20. T

    Nice gap up. Will it continue?

    Why are people buying? I am now looking at the price of mcd. It is at 90.60. What is in the mind of its buyers?
Back
Top