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  1. eurusdzn

    Why are oil prices so low?

    The spread chart will tell in the final analysis but does anyone have an opinion which will out perform when a recovery is underway, WTI or Brent? Why I ask is that high volatility could be expected when the recovery begins, as in 2008, and a spread of the two could be a method to participate.
  2. eurusdzn

    Predictions and Coin Flips

    Probably true.
  3. eurusdzn

    Predictions and Coin Flips

    The volatility is picking up in emerging market bonds , equities and currencies. EMB and HYG as a general proxy for credit is gettimg worse. RSX down 11% and CB raised 700bp. Today to 17.5 %. How does this end. Most serious #1 issue. China,russia,brazil and others recently establisjed trade...
  4. eurusdzn

    "Tight spreads" (atm, itm, slightly otm) trading

    You remind me of Phil Davis. He seems to have a good sense of direction as well and spreads well. I would really like to see SOMEONE make money over time at a reasonable clip without major mistakes. Good luck to you.
  5. eurusdzn

    Predictions and Coin Flips

    Sunday night 12/14. Week ending. The stong feeling of follow through on the previous Friday NFP results in approx -227dollar/contract adverse move , halfway to stop, as all yields along the treasury curbe down this past week. Stop is at 99.55 . Fed meeting is Wednesday. Last week bonds were...
  6. eurusdzn

    alternative to SPY

    So I like to post charts. Three year weekly chart of long SPY and short RSX(Russia etf). As drcha informed you, deep in the money(90ish delta) options of liquid ETF's wouldn't take much capital and you have lots of volatility. Chart is of the underlyings.
  7. eurusdzn

    Why are oil prices so low?

    The man who knows nothing of oil and is two, three or more weeks in this trade is most happy i suspect. How does one do that?
  8. eurusdzn

    Maverick wrong on OIL, Gold, Markets as usual.......want the Oil truth ?

    I have heard a poster here say that the cash/spot oil market is a small fraction of the oil market. Does this imply the larger fraction are financial products getting crushed here and possibly seeking safety in USD and treasuries? Is this a catch-all for "speculators" . I can envision an...
  9. eurusdzn

    Why are oil prices so low?

    Can you look at a long term chart of the spread of STO-WTI, especially around the 2008 oil crash, and see if there were some tradeable patterns. Chart trading?
  10. eurusdzn

    Predictions and Coin Flips

    I am not taking a cash distribution from my 401k that would be penalized and taxed as income. I get the good and bad that goes along with "using" a 401k. I love the markets and i have been interested in them for 15+ years and have no consistent profitability or proof at all that i can trade...
  11. eurusdzn

    Predictions and Coin Flips

    12/9 Greece budget and Troika finance problems. Inverted 3/10 curve. Greek banks down hard. China continued soft data . Cpi 1.4% Yen and euro momentum vs dollar. Emerging markets weak. Oil continues down to 63. Investment and high yield spread wide in oil and in general market. HYG. Levered...
  12. eurusdzn

    Help me understand Nikkei futures (CME)

    I once tried the little Hang Seng contract. Had to use Idealpro on IB to exchange USD for Hong Kong dollars. Then i could trade the futures contract which settled in Hong Kong dollars. No USD settlement. if you have a choice maybe treat everything as a spread trade. Buying Nikkei with Yen is...
  13. eurusdzn

    Borrowing to trade

    Could you borrow 2k and now use 4k to make 400/ month, pay off your card in 5 months. Could you then borrow 2k on your card and make 600/month and pay off debt in 14 weeks. Repeat with an 8 k account earning 800 a month paying off debt in 10 weeks. And so on.
  14. eurusdzn

    Predictions and Coin Flips

    GE_SEP15 , sold @ 99.315, stop @ 99.55 aprox (600) about 1% account. in line with plan. Target is trendline approx 99.22. Will probably have resting sell stop to add to position. Too optimistic, anticipatory entry. Mid range..see chart. 12/5/2014 NFP was 321k jobs added. 2,10,20 year...
  15. eurusdzn

    Predictions and Coin Flips

    I work, i am busy, a hobbyist and, all those excuses really are not required here. I am going to attempt to allocate 50k of a 401k to this task. I want to conservatively attempt to allocate and manage this account over the course of a year. Position size would be 5k or so and loss would be 1%...
  16. eurusdzn

    Pure Flat Tax?

    Yup, Too funny.
  17. eurusdzn

    Pure Flat Tax?

    Scat, Is that a war dog? A helmutt of sorts?
  18. eurusdzn

    Possible Ebola in Boston

    Mass General Hospital in Boston, Ma. has a suspected case of Ebola. No details released at this time.
  19. eurusdzn

    Pure Flat Tax?

    Headline taxes grab a lot of attention. The very rich and the multinational corporations grab attention. Achieving tax escape velocity seems difficult. Most individuals and businesses pay more than fair share. The multinational that closes a US factory, lays off workers, manufactures overseas...
  20. eurusdzn

    Wow, oil stocks getting torched.

    Narrow rally in Copper,gold,silver,oil. Indices,etfs, futures and big oil up today. Squeeze? Underlying stocks weak in direct shale plays such as CLR,XCO,GDP. Steel stocks down. X, AKS, STLD, NUE. Mining, ore stocks VALE,RIO,BHP down. Distressed coal companies ANR,WLT,CLF etc down...
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