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I have no positon now. Recent flattening in 2015 and stable/sideways action recently. But, 2014 was an amazing year for steepening. The entire curve was deflationay in 2014 with bullish steepening at the fed end. Quite unexpected to me with all the hype in 2014 of the divergent US monetary...

Specifically, with respective DV01 for 2yr and 10yr approx $30 and $60 (2)ZT and (1)ZN Purchased with (1)Usd.jpy sold , has a notional exposure above 600k. Easily put on with a 50k account but possibly too much risk of things go wrong.

Too what degree should risk be mitigated? If extreme low risk then yeah , it gets complicated for simple retail mind like mine and probably more risky as size is put on to further diversify and decrease risk. Correlations blow out and boom. Simply levering QQQ/SPY in 2015 or your...

What is symbol in my retail IB account to buy the spread "borrowing at FF and lending Prime" ? Thanks.

How much would an invested dollar be today that was invested under the Buttonwood tree in 1792 ? Compouding and immortality....Nice.

http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=3868 Politicians used to have some level of understanding and involvement in the economy. Well, understamding? .......... maybe not. What is it Nixon did a couple years prior? Gee somehow theres probably a connection here. Anyway, the fed has the wheel...

Maybe its pricing in another bad day like that recent Monday. Many stock/etf people have GTC Limit orders at flash crash discount prices. A temporary blip. Probably get a fill on 1 share If not ALL. Everyone wants one of those lottery tickets.

Surf, i know nothing, you know that, however, i dont know, maybe 5 or ten times a year or so, across a wide range of global macro asset classes, there are large moves that are triggerred by or at least observable in a continuous flow of "news" available to all. Granted , sometimes , Sucha as...

Market prices lead the fed around by the short hairs these days. This is sort of derived simply by observation. How can one conclude otherwise.

"Human beings reacting to new information to varying degrees with different lags". Thats a great quote in my opinion. I contend that recent price behaviour preceding the "new information" effects the rate of change of price. Simply , given the same new information, from a deeply 10 day oversold...

How many did? I thought none. I thought exactly the same. Crocodile tears. Next he will be volunteering at the nearest food pantry.

So the weekly , monthly and quarterly levels reset this weekend which cant really be drawn yet on this chart without extension of the new levels. Hmm... The 60 trading day(quarterly), and 20 day(monthly) chart are layered for 2015 on this 2 year daily chart. Seems last quarters confirmed Aup...

We? You are not "we" my friend, despite your suttle insertion into the fabric of our American rascism.

To read http://www.dollarsandsense.org/archives/2009/1109reuss.html

My present way of thinking is to use the volatility of the preceding 30 days for the Aup and Adown levels. This is not using the event day for opening range because i want to see if the behaviour going forward(pace,price,volatility) differs from the last 30 days. The event day isnt factored into...

Here is a popular spread of SPY/EEM with my 30 trading day ACD levels . The trigger is the 1st day FOMC meetings. 2014 and 2015 meetings are shown EXCEPT for the most recent meeting approx. 10 days ago. Note the lack of direction the last 10 days where most past meetings triggered decent moves...

Thank you , that seems something I can do in Excel along with Aup and ADown levels. Thanks.

May I ask what the 3 states are that correctly model Fisher's intentions? Thanks.

http://www.montypython.net/scripts/argument.php I hear the youtube video is better but it is no longer available. Too bad.

2% inflation is not attainable by the US, Japan, Europe. Treasury and USD bull market. Or, more of the same for a while. Euro parity as well. Gold 1050 as well.