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  1. M

    China gets stimulated & tosses Treasuries off!

    China holds $725bln in treasuries & US bonds. Say they dump 50% in order to build roads and hospitals and such. That's $360bln or 10% of Chinese GDP. So far so good. Now how much of this is going to be offset by higher savings rates in North America and Europe punishing demand for Chinese...
  2. M

    The rich are selling gold.

    Wealthy my ass. Nobody wealthy is applauding and acting like a happy 8 year old as they're being ripped off in a distressed asset sale.
  3. M

    Breaking....Market Tanks As China Decides Against Stimulus Plan

    What if the working hypothesis should not be "Can China stimulate itself out of the crisis" but "What if China goes into a multi-year depression". What if?
  4. M

    After the whole world is sure that Warren Buffet will fail...

    The time to buy BRK will be when we see "The death of Berkshire Hathaway" on the cover of TIME magazine. That will mark rock bottom :cool:
  5. M

    FDIC Could Become Insolvent This Year

    Unless Geithner pulls a "Lehman" on the FDIC and argues he has no authority :cool:
  6. M

    How to avoid scaling in becoming double down

    Keep an Excel. Before you start your position, enter your scale levels and stop loss. Stick with this no matter what. Makes it a tad easier to stay disciplined.
  7. M

    IBFX - Note to fellow traders

    Why not trade EUR futures on GLOBEX. Your transactions are handled and guaranteed by a 3rd party exchange.
  8. M

    Coal & Drillers

    Long BTU, JOYG :cool:
  9. M

    Leuthold´s Grizzly Short Fund : don´t buy fund anymore

    Markets had a 50% bear market rally within the 90% decline 1929-1933. A rally to 1000 would be a 44% rally. "No way possible" is a little far fetched. It has happened before.
  10. M

    lol @ GE

    When will the first CNBC anchor break out in tears live on air, realizing their 401k filled with GE stock is going to zero?
  11. M

    Leuthold´s Grizzly Short Fund : don´t buy fund anymore

    This guy ought to be commended. Honesty is a rare feat on Wall St.
  12. M

    10 months fulltime and still no edge

    Think about it, who are you competing with in those time frames? Analyze carefully what kind of edge it would need to compete with these multi-billion Dollar quant HFs & desks on a leverage, trading cost, redundancy, exchange access & speed basis. Try changing your time frame to EOD or weekly...
  13. M

    Kass: Kill the Quants, Punish the ProBears

    Poetic justice. Let individual investors feel the pain. Nobody complained to regulators in 1999/2000 when Soros and Robertson got their tech short positions squeezed by individual investor money inflows into tech mutual funds :cool:
  14. M

    Bernanke rips AIG - says nothing makes him angrier

    I hope this guy is sarcastic, he can't be serious now. They (Bernanke, Paulson + Geithner) let Lehman blow up on Monday and unleash hell on credit marktes and then bail out AIG on Wednesday because of "possible shockwaves". Yea that makes sense :cool:
  15. M

    how to cut losses as a global macro trader?

    According to the "House of Money" - as far as my recollection goes - many global macro managers use directional option positions to express their bets, thus have a "built in" stop loss -- when the options expire worthless.
  16. M

    Anyone getting IB freezups?

    Never have freezeups or flickers. 8gb ram, Vista x64.
  17. M

    Historic data for purchase on DVD?

    I'm using www.csidata.com since years, couldn't be happier. I built all my futures systems using their data. Good support, my emails were always replied to very promptly.
  18. M

    Hedge funds using TradeStation/MultiCharts?

    There are many small professional CTAs (e.g. $10m in assets) that use Tradestation, simply because they have a pretty decent backtesting and execution platform that comes with years of intraday data -- despite all the well-known shortcomings.
  19. M

    Pointers about east european crisis?

    Suppesedly Switzerland's direct loan exposure to EE/CEE is not as bad as others'. It seems Italy, Germany and Austria (first their banks, thus their economies) are much more at risk here. From: http://zerohedge.blogspot.com/2009/02/glance-at-upcoming-eastern-european.html
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