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A high IQ during childhood and youth unfortunately has been found to have no correlation with - adulthood success at work - income - adult mental health From what I remember from university, it appears 'simple' factors such as childhood nest warmth and childhood self-confidence are much...

I'd say: 1. Half of the investable assets in a basket of good trendfollowing managed futures funds in order to benefit from volatility in commodity prices 2. There were periods in the 70s & early 80s when short term CDs beat every other investments as stocks churned sideways and bonds got...

On "authors" and "timely predicting hyperinflation". What about this one? # Hardcover: 264 pages # Publisher: Beaufort Books (April 1985)

I'm not saying it's impossible, just unlikely. it would be like a child that touched a hot stove plate going right back touching that hot plate again after it got burned.

I'd say a slow 10-20 year period of anemic G7 economic growth as debt is paid down, credit contracts, excess production capacity is being consolidated, household and corporate balance sheets are being compressed in a decade-long healing process. US 10 year annualized real GDP and CPI inflation...

Rosenberg

Couple of attachments on this topic, for anybody interested

I am sorry, how can there be any future material inflation with consumers and corporate debt at 250% of GDP? Where is the inflation going to come from unless we're talking about a national government default? All I understand is the "government is going to monetize the debt". How is that going...

Not an ETF, an ETN: Ticker VXX

A mall full of gold coin and guns&ammo stores? :cool:

It's a possibly, but then I have to wonder why "money printing" didn't work to reignite inflation in the 30s then? Why then will it "surely" bring about instant high inflation today? Annual Change in Money Supply: What if global credit - just like in the 30s - is being "destroyed" at a...

Still shaking my head how so many say and think "high inflation is surely coming, make no mistake about it"? When? How? What chips have to fall into place for inflation to run high, given the current environment? - record corporate and private household debt (compare to the 70s...

Short AVB, KIM, BXP. Boy did I get creamed on these :cool:

You won't be missed, good riddance.

You mean they threatened to convert their US $17m in total currency reserves into EUR? Wow. Bush probably pulled the trigger when he heard that!

Time to average down in your quadruple 4x short ETFs??

Uhm no he's not right "longer term." Comparing 1974 and 2008/2009 has nothing to do with a "long term outlook", it's simply factually wrong. One of the key things Bernanke is actually getting right is respecting the "great debt unwind" aspect of things; something this author says is "wrong...

I am sure the REIT will be up 40% tomorrow on the "good" news, that has been the pattern in that sector lately :cool:

So far all data -- industrial production, debt to GDP, commodity prices, global trade, unemployment etc. etc. speaks in favor of "Bernanke's theory" (if that really is his theory). Arguing this is a cyclical contraction alongside 1974 driven by excess capacity and rising input prices, I am...

He asked "Anyone trading GS?". We all know you're not trading GS nor anything else.