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  1. tommcginnis

    Chronic stress skews decision toward high-risk/high-benefit

    Think of a standard risk+reward evaluation: into the choice function goes elements of 1) absolute payoff ($$$) 2) outcomes' probabilities ("vol") 3) time ("Tick-tock tick-tock, Clarice.") With an experience of deprivation, seeking low volatility beats return (And the cash goes under the...
  2. tommcginnis

    taking a shot a programming some option characteristics

    But still, no identifiable question, nor specific request. "Guess we're good here! o_O:rolleyes::) "
  3. tommcginnis

    taking a shot a programming some option characteristics

    I even re-read it again, just for giggles! But Nope! No questions. No requests. Guess we're good here! o_O:rolleyes::)
  4. tommcginnis

    taking a shot a programming some option characteristics

    But is there a *question* about anywhere?
  5. tommcginnis

    How do you plan for a side project?

    (Now that we're completely off point....) In 1994, two days (it turns out) before my sons were born, their mom and I bought a 10-year old Volvo 240 GL wagon. Knowing my penchant for 24-hour drives, curvy roads, nasty conditions... We'd shopped around for a car that had rear-wheel drive, "feel"...
  6. tommcginnis

    The Go Long at 10 am Strategy

    And yes, we stepped in it. ("Those dratted kids!")
  7. tommcginnis

    Trading large position size (percentage of equity)

    I'm not going to point out the empirical horror you propose because you know it in better detail than all of us. I'm only going to point out that no one here will come to your defense, because all who trade that way are gone. Busted.
  8. tommcginnis

    TSLA - Here we go again.....

    Walmart?? Hunt?? What are they doing?? Easy. They *are* "businessmen": this is easy élon musky cachét..... ca·chet kaˈSHā/ noun noun: cachet; plural noun: cachets 1. the state of being respected or admired; prestige. "no other shipping company had quite the cachet of Cunard" synonyms...
  9. tommcginnis

    The Go Long at 10 am Strategy

    The problem Pek (as I'm guessing you already know) is that this is a Big Boy Agenda, and could well be shut off at tonight's close. Watching volume will be paramount. The NYSE TRIN has camped out just below 1.00, so a pretty balanced day, even with high (3rd week) volume/selling/reconciliation...
  10. tommcginnis

    Re-thinking "Discipline"

    One of the most socially destructive things of the last half-century is the insidious twisting of "discipline" from something admirable and good, to something evil, bad, unfair, knee-jerk, unproportioned and sapping of any joyeux de vivre. Seriously -- as a species, this sucks.
  11. tommcginnis

    Where to find stratgies to Backtest

    +1 "noggin" Evaluation? By the time the idea has coalesced into long/short/when/where, it has already gone through a gazillion cycles of 'edge-shopping'. You're either doing this, or you're wasting (valuable) time.
  12. tommcginnis

    was that a black swan for call and straddle sellers in WMT?

    I've got a buddy who's a very smart/savvy investor, and ......... and a dumb trader. -- He trades a full-time account(s), with part-time hours. -- He is a ferocious GAAP/dividend/PE proponent (where most of his capital lays), but he works a ferocious short+naked option inventory (where most of...
  13. tommcginnis

    IB's TRIN data joins the ranks of Screwed-Up?

    Don't know about others, but the NYSE-TICK has been screwed for a year or so. COME ON, IB. But, since you mention it, ES data has been screwed as an added contract, on other graphs. WHAT THE FUCK. COME ON, IB!!
  14. tommcginnis

    was that a black swan for call and straddle sellers in WMT?

    The person who prepares your taxes is the best one to answer this question. You might consider printing out very report form available from your trading platform, and bring that for a relaxed sit-down with the tax preparer, and let them pick. You might want to do this ASAP, and then schedule a...
  15. tommcginnis

    ES→SPX ≈ 3pts! Here comes the interest rates!

    YOW! On the eave of a tax bill vote, cash 2583.03 DEC 2582.35 0.68 pts., with that one month to go.
  16. tommcginnis

    ES Has Topped

    (ROTFLMFAO) You guys are frikken poets.
  17. tommcginnis

    I have lost over half of my net worth/life savings trading forex.

    What!?! "Over-leveraging and bucket shop reasons" aren't enough? Jeeesh! Well then, I'll add the fact that while foreign exchange *should* operate (in a fiat currency world) on the tides of underlying fundamentals, it instead operates on the waves and turbulence of black swans and black swans...
  18. tommcginnis

    ES→SPX ≈ 3pts! Here comes the interest rates!

    cash 2568.86 DEC 2567.50 1.36pts., with ~ one month to go.
  19. tommcginnis

    Some advice needed...

    I thought there was an "embarrassed" emoji?!?!? Oh well: :rolleyes::confused::(:confused::rolleyes:
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