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I am mechanically trading a basket of 8 currencies. Why would I not be serious; I apologize if being net long the USD goes against the ET consensus.

I'm taking the other side. Short CHF CAD GBP EUR AUD NZD SEK Long JPY

In the last 50 years, "worst is behind us" always meant the upswing continues like clockwork. Never a 10-20 year sideways grind of GDP a la Japan. What if this isn't our typical V-shaped contraction?

Because funds don't have the luxury of posting backtested theoretical results.

Just so I understand your "trading" strategy. You average into a losing position from $30 or whatever all the way to $9. Then you sell at $10, for a $1 "profit"? Talk about an adverse risk/reward ratio.

If people were up 200% on their 401ks full of stocks nobody would be crying. But these dumbasses loaded up their retirement accounts with one of the most risky and volatile asset classes in history and now have to pay the price because they're down 50%. These people don't deserve any...

http://www.apa.org/releases/handshake.html

A pussy handshake is one thing. But many people also look down (instead of into ones eyes) when shaking hands. This combination is the worst and a dead sure give-away of a low self-esteem, weak ego.

The basis of German wealth is the basis for other's debt misery: a debt-driven consumption frenzy in large parts of the Western world that is coming to an abrupt end. However, Germans still naively believe in a V-shaped rebound of global debt financed consumer spending? Sooner or later they...

As Rosenberg said, US consumers are embarking on a secular shift from "frivolity to frugality" :cool:

I'm defending him against broke ET morons who simply say "Cramer can't trade, I'm so much better". Cramer has 50 million in the bank, they don't. I still wonder though why he's doing the TV gig, wake up at 6am write for his TSCM site, drive to CNBC studio every day, blue-collar workload...

Cramer has a networth of tens of millions. Wtf is this idiot still doing on TV earning an "income" with CNBC and his ridiculous little garbage company TSCM? He should have retired in 2000 not only from his hedge fund but from everything. Instead he turned into a media whore that wants to be...

I'm observing big 5%, 8%, 11% gains multiple days in a row in stocks with the lowest "quality" balance sheets, on no volume whatsoever. Somebody is getting pasted.

Here's Tices magic SP500 forecast formula, valid at all times: SP500_Target = Close(SP500,0) * 0.5

Looks like some poor son of a bitch forgot to fudge the numbers by a few ticks so they beat expectations. Him and his entire family will probably be sent off to the gulag in north west rural China :cool:

Why would anyone bother arguing with you at this point? Myself and others "tried" proving you wrong in the previous 18 threads with research publications and long term real world track records. You never responded and simply walked away from the threads. You have obviously no interest in...

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Congrats. I thought Surf would end up making the dumbest post of the thread, but the honor goes to you hands down.

Surf, you start a new "trendfollowing sucks" thread every 2-3 months. Why not stick with the other 18 ones where you were embarrassed? BTW: As most strategies, rolling returns in trendfollowing funds are prone to mean reversion. 2008 has been a bombastic year for trendfollowers, many posting...

If you bought the Dow in 1932 at 40 and sold it 28 years later (1960) in the 600s you averaged an annualized 25.7% without even accounting for dividends, safely outperforming bonds. Buying 100 year lows helps I guess, just like in Shillings ridiculous bond example. "Never buy stocks unless...