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  1. rmorse

    Is iv skew the result of an error in the Black-Scholes model...

    This is all just my opinion. I prefer to sell OTM options in indexes rather than "stocks". When OTM options expand in individual underlying, you take the risk of "hot" money knowing something you don't. It increases the risk of an "event" causing a loss. With regard to Index options like SPX...
  2. rmorse

    Is iv skew the result of an error in the Black-Scholes model...

    Sorry, that was not meant toward you, but in general from the post over all. Yes, your last statement I agree with. What many on ET often say is that trading ATM options is better than trading OTM options. That buying vol is better than selling. That sell ATM options is better than OTM options...
  3. rmorse

    Is iv skew the result of an error in the Black-Scholes model...

    I look at this a little differently. The ATM IVol is the based on the current market expectation of uncertainly/price movement. If you have a statistical way of determining that: -the market is mis-pricing future price movement -the market will shortly do something to raise or lower Ivol based...
  4. rmorse

    Is iv skew the result of an error in the Black-Scholes model...

    It was my understanding that cox-Ross- Binomial options pricing model was the standard now.
  5. rmorse

    Is iv skew the result of an error in the Black-Scholes model...

    I'd be interested to know, on average, if most leaps are initiated from a buy or sell order. I never activity traded options going out longer than 6 months.
  6. rmorse

    Is iv skew the result of an error in the Black-Scholes model...

    The Skew comes from assumptions, not the model. For a short period of time after I left the Amex floor, I was going to trade options on sugar. I noticed that the skew was the reverse of equity options. Why, because the fear was from a shortage. The OTM calls were much higher than the OTM puts...
  7. rmorse

    Is iv skew the result of an error in the Black-Scholes model...

    In my experience, there are a few factors that tend to create the typical equity skew where OTM puts are higher than OTM calls. -stocks tend to go down faster than they go up. -when stocks go down, since most investors are long, there is increased fear/uncertainly-Ivol will tend to increase...
  8. rmorse

    Interactive Brokers - Receives Payment for Order Flow or Not?

    Dark pool operators don't want details known about how they operate. Same with "Smart" routes. No one will provide details.
  9. rmorse

    Interactive Brokers - Receives Payment for Order Flow or Not?

    Keep in mind that many of these books a biased against the industry. They often don't tell a balanced story.
  10. rmorse

    Interactive Brokers - Receives Payment for Order Flow or Not?

    DEF, just to be clear, this statement is referring to equity orders, not option orders?
  11. rmorse

    Managing retail funds always risky?

    The LP protects the investors by limiting their liability to the funds invested. The manager of the fund is normally a General Partnership. None of this will stop an investor from suing you if you break the law or do business contrary to your Investment Management Agreement.
  12. rmorse

    Limit or Market Orders??

    My personal preference is to NEVER use market orders. I'd rather enter a limit order through the offer or bid. You never know when there will be exchange system problems and liquidity will disappear.
  13. rmorse

    IB TWS - live data for stocks?

    IB charges but if you are non-pro, the MD cost is very low.
  14. rmorse

    Interactive Brokers - Receives Payment for Order Flow or Not?

    The funds I'm referring to are not HF. Option PM margin is a moving target. House rules can be too. They would like the opportunity to adjust to market conditions on their own. Remember, we are talking about margin, not losing money.
  15. rmorse

    Interactive Brokers - Receives Payment for Order Flow or Not?

    hajimow, I can see you are VERY happy with IB, and that's great. However if you are a hedge fund, auto-liquidation, that can occur from wide markets in options during times of stress or exchange system issues, and can cause losses, even though the fund was not losing money. They would like the...
  16. rmorse

    Interactive Brokers - Receives Payment for Order Flow or Not?

    NeoTrader, Some how, as with many threads, this has gotten off track. I can't speak for IB, so I'll speak in general terms. With regard to equity orders that are full DMA, where you can route your orders, you have the expectation that those orders will not travel first though an equity dark...
  17. rmorse

    How do human scalpers compete with machines today?

    If you can make $300/day on $5K, on average, that is badass.
  18. rmorse

    How do human scalpers compete with machines today?

    I guess it make a difference if that is on $5K, $50K or $500K. 10% per day is an interesting goal. 10% per quarter is hard when you scale up.
  19. rmorse

    How do human scalpers compete with machines today?

    I can't respond to that in a public forum. I'm sure others will be happy to provide their opinion.Keep in mind that the best rebates for options are between $0.45 and $0.85 for non-penny equity options . Reg fees around around $0.0947/contract. If you buy and sell at the same price, you will...
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