Search results

  1. B

    shooting the moon

    "Since November 13, 1987, Monday and Tuesdays combined are up 595.68% for the Dow, while Wednesday, Thursday and Friday combined are up 9.72%. For more a quarter of a century, nearly the Dow’s entire gain has come during the first 40% of the week."...
  2. B

    shooting the moon

    There has to be a mathematical way to put this, maybe for somebody smarter than me. stock a moves from 1 to 5, lets call it 4u stock b moves up 2 and back 1, so from 1 to 5 it moves 8u (from 1 - 3 - 2 - 4 - 3 - 5) So same destinations, different paths. Stock b travels twice as far...
  3. B

    shooting the moon

    A smart economist and blogger says something which probably reflects the approach of most ordinary investors: http://www.arnoldkling.com/blog/ (permalink is broken) "Speaking of stocks, I know of a newsletter writer who recommends specific stocks and always adds what he calls a...
  4. B

    shooting the moon

    J. Gundlach: "Gourmet Burito is an oxymoron" http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=CMG:JACK&p=W&b=5&g=0&id=p99844405027 I think he's probably right. The Qdoba breakfast burrito is quite tasty, 600 calories for $3.
  5. B

    shooting the moon

    Our retail sentiment data shows that the number of orders short SPX500 outnumber those long by an almost-unbelievable 10.6 to 1. . . . As it stands we would equate getting short at these levels as roughly equivalent of jumping in front of a freight train...
  6. B

    shooting the moon

    There may be another $10 in IDT. $8 of cash, business is probably worth $10, and then $7-$10 for Zedge, a profitable mobile app for trading ringtones/screensavers. http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=IDT&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p51300415546 Good example of this strategy, from Dan Loeb...
  7. B

    shooting the moon

    More insane top shorting. SPX500 –Retail CFD speculators remain aggressively net-short the SPX500 contract as it trades near record-highs, and we see little choice but to maintain our bullish contrarian trading forecast...
  8. B

    shooting the moon

    Of course, none of this needs to be restated for the ETers, who are all master traders, never have a losing day, never trade anything but ES on 5 minute charts, and have a perfect system and complete discipline that "pulls out" $500/day from the market, like clockwork. Or they're just a few bad...
  9. B

    shooting the moon

    The top three sectors (chinese solar, dry bulk shipping, and miners are all doing terribly. That's not surprising, seeing as most individual investors are value/buy on the dip/falling knife investors. They are throwing away their most valuable advantage, the ability to buy small positions in...
  10. B

    shooting the moon

    This is another good indication of where individual investor is putting money. http://www.tickerspy.com/ideas_research.php?v=indexes&s=tracked_by The dry bulk shippers, Chinese solar, the miners (has anybody ever made money in miners?), battery, uranium, etc etc. I don't see any tech...
  11. B

    Safe Investment?

    You could plant some black walnut trees in your back yard and wait thirty years.
  12. B

    Largest industries in the world?

    According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, State and Local Government employed 19.5 million people in 2010. After that, the next largest sectors are Professional and Business Services with 16.7M and Health Care and Social Assistance at 16.4M. Interestingly, ten years previously, the...
  13. B

    shooting the moon

    Gold getting crushed, retail investors can't get enough. Zerohedgers doubling down. http://www.dailyfx.com/technical_analysis/sentiment?technicalSentiment=XAUUSD
  14. B

    Who Is A Bad Trader?

    Thanks, but you might have read just one post down. But don't worry because I took both sides of that argument viz if SC doesn't trade futures, why should you? and if SC does trade futures, why trade against him? So I'm covered either way.
  15. B

    why "cash buyers" in housing

    By the way, if we apply a little technical analysis to housing, this looks like a dead cat bounce. We might bounce up a few more percent, but "cash buyers" are not going to be irrational like ALT-A buyers could. So we could go sideways (or worse) for years after this little mini-boomlet. And...
  16. B

    why "cash buyers" in housing

    Housing is booming, or so I'm told. The conspiracy theory I've read is that the big banks are keeping foreclosure inventory off the market, driving down inventory, driving up prices. I guess the idea is that in a few years (or few months) they will start to dribble the shadow inventory on to the...
  17. B

    EricP, Lescor, Patrickq, Dustin and gang..

    has the OP thought about longer time frames? I assume he's day trading.
  18. B

    "Retail" investment in leading CTAs

    Does CFD count? It's a publicly traded, run by Jarecki, or by his firm, Gresham.
  19. B

    Who Is A Bad Trader?

    I don't want to hijack this thread, so I'll just make one reply. Alpha is always in comparison with some benchmark, so to the extent that the return is positive (and adjusted for risk), it would show alpha. I don't see that the existence of hedgers provides any opportunity - the price is set by...
  20. B

    Who Is A Bad Trader?

    I don't know what the technical term is (if there is one), but if you own a future or option, there is a counterparty or somebody on the other side of the trade. If you buy a stock, you own the stock, there is nobody on the other side.
Back
Top