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  1. dbphoenix

    Is day trading worth it?

    At the risk of sounding 80s, don't confuse what you do with who you are. Trade, take the money, then go do something that actually matters.
  2. dbphoenix

    Trading Price:Phase Two:Backtesting

    In this respect, not really. Price behavior, yes. The whatever this is, no. But thanks.
  3. dbphoenix

    Trading Price:Phase Two:Backtesting

    "We" aren't backtesting anything. I'm just pointing out an interesting feature, the sort of thing that might make an worthwhile avenue of inquiry, which is what backtesting is all about. I hope you guys will find other such features to backtest.
  4. dbphoenix

    Trading Price:Phase Two:Backtesting

    You have seven lines, none of which trace the hinge.
  5. dbphoenix

    Ghost of If You Can Draw A Straight Line

    For those who follow this, I should also point out, for a macro view, that new highs continue to decline and the NDX leaders aren't performing too well. This doesn't have anything to do with the SLA per se, but it does have a lot to do with AMT, factors which encourage one to take the short and...
  6. dbphoenix

    Trading Price:Phase Two:Backtesting

    Which is a big part of what pisses me off about yesterday. It isn't as if I just started doing this, and for that in utero hinge to not even ping my radar . . . Maybe next time. But that's why this is done: next time.
  7. dbphoenix

    Trading Price:Phase Two:Backtesting

    What I find as much interesting about the above chart as the hinge is the regularity of the movement, characteristic of AMT. Clearly the trading is intentful. Although this is of course hindsight, a trader who stuck with this from an AMT perspective would have noted by 1300 that he had a nice...
  8. dbphoenix

    Trading Price:Phase Two:Backtesting

    And during the session:
  9. dbphoenix

    Trading Price:Phase Two:Backtesting

    And zooming in further to a view we would have had at the open
  10. dbphoenix

    Trading Price:Phase Two:Backtesting

    Zooming in a little, we get this. The price break clearly is at 10, but the break of the hinge is a little lower:
  11. dbphoenix

    Trading Price:Phase Two:Backtesting

    I've examined this chart backwards and forwards and up and down and drawn trendlines and means in every location I could conceive of and could not come up with anything that made foresight sense in terms of trend. However, there is this hinge. Although someone may have pointed out this hinge in...
  12. dbphoenix

    Trading Price:Phase Two:Backtesting

    Five weeks ago, I posted the following to a journal: It should be remembered that there are five phases here: observation, backtesting, forwardtesting, simtrading, real trading. First, one must observe in order to find those "tells" which show the market's hand. In broad categories, these...
  13. dbphoenix

    Is day trading worth it?

    Ouch! :)
  14. dbphoenix

    SlaPa

    You can, of course. But then you get into micro channels and micro trends and micro ranges. Yes, technically, they can be traded. But the profit potential is limited and is largely eaten up by commissions. The profits, again, come from trading size, and no one who is trading his own money is...
  15. dbphoenix

    Is day trading worth it?

    Exactly the right phrase. It's called NIGYSOB.
  16. dbphoenix

    Ghost of If You Can Draw A Straight Line

    I haven't posted an updated version of one of these for a while, but they may be becoming important.
  17. dbphoenix

    Is day trading worth it?

    I'm really looking forward to the answer to this one. :)
  18. dbphoenix

    SlaPa

    I wondered at the time if I ought to bring AMT into this, but it became clear after the first thread that without it the SLA became pretty much PickUp Stix. While the SLA and AMT are synergistic or complementary, depending on how you want to look at it, choices sometimes have to be made. The AMT...
  19. dbphoenix

    Ghost of If You Can Draw A Straight Line

    Well, AMT won the day today. We opened just above the mean and got to 48 before turning south, but it was hardly a glide. So most of us had long ended our day before this hinge resolved itself to the downside. The chart on the right shows where we are as of now, which is of course the lower...
  20. dbphoenix

    switching gears to Price Action via SLA

    Those who are moving past old fears are doing just that. But it's up to the individual to know when to take that step. And there's always the option of stepping back into the SLA when necessary. Eventually the lines will be set aside permanently.
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