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Do you think if or when general population give up stocks ? Will people realize that stock market is just a Giant Ponzi scheme or a giant casino ? and give up ideas to make money from stock market ?

Are there any good tools / indicators to measure fear and greedy ? Thanks.

Hi, What do you think the bank stock price vs. housing price ? Is there any correlations ? The following is my guess: $B(t) = const * ($H(t + T) - H0)) $B(t) is the average bank stock price at time t, $H(t + T) is the average housing price at time t + T, where T represents forward...

A short survey: Q1: Is stock market a giant Ponzi scheme ? Q2: Is financial sector still over-value ?

Read my OP, our system can predict if market will go up or down 60% times. We did not say that our system will be correct 60%.

What do you mean that no system can "predict" anything ? We can predict that >99.9% chance that the Sun will rise tomorrow, will it ?

We are in the different camps. Do you think DEShaw or Renaissance's system can be coded in a few lines ? We believe market is efficient in general, so we go extreme to seek in-efficiency, which we believe are hard to find by nature. Plus, many systems look far beyond price and volume...

Hi, All: We have an idea for a trading method. We have proved that it shall work by theoretical analysis, and shall give good return. However, we do not know if it will work in real market. It may take 2 man-years to develop the software for the trading system before we can test it with...

We had come out a system. Backtest shows that the system can predict the direction of market movement correctly in 60% of time. (It is a system to predict if market will go up or down, but not how much). We believe that 60% correct predict ratio shall maintain in future. Given these...

Will most people reach same conclusions by charts reading ? Since most people are looking at the same indicators, do you think that most people will reach the same conclusions (buy/sell decisions) by analyzing charts ? In other words, what can cause people to reach different conclusions...

How about these adaptive filter in communication ? Wireless channel is not stationary, but people have built communication theory for it.

Has anyone used information theory, communication theory in trading ? It seems that Shannon is interested in trading himself, but these are old theory, has anyone used the latest information theory, commuication theory in trading. Will they give you edges ?

Digital Signal processing in trading ? My background is in digital signal processing, I just wonder if digital signal processing methods have been used in trading. If so, which methods have been tried and which have been proved to be useful ? Thanks.

If most people think market will go up, will it go up or down ? I think there can be two different scenarios, one is that: 1. A bubble will be formed, so market will go up 2. Market will go down, because, price has priced in. How can we know which will happen ? Any thoughts ?

Hi, Happy Friday ! I have a question for your pro. A. If most people think market will down, will the market go up ? B. What percentage of people can be classified as "most" when above claim become true ? Thanks.

Hi, All: Is there any place where we can find the total amount of money in 401K, in mutual funds, hedge funds and other institutional investment funds ? The reason I asked this question is that I feel money in different categories will act differently on the same market condition. By...