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Oh hell yes I would agree with that. Copper is a really wild one as well. Seems like Gold is the gentle pussycat of the three. I have clients spreading between all of the LME and Comex metals complex. Getting LME access can be a bitch, but the clients doing it are printing money. Lots...

The OTC FX market doesn't count - I still haven't personally seen evidence of a US citizen losing segregated funds placed with a regulated FCM in the US. Anyone ?

I actually spread 2 Gold futures versus 1 Silver future on the Comex - lots of juice, a bit better behaved IMO than the flat price futures. Legging them is an adventure.

Legitimate "FREE THINKERS" do not make such dull and intellectually-bankrupt value judgements on the morality of others. Period. What gives you the authority to stand in judgement of others and their religous beliefs? Your logic is shallow and flawed, your arguements on the intellectual...

http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/intercommodity-spread.html They have not published June 2011 yet. Know anybody with a Bloomberg? Google "calculate interest rate DV01" it is a long, technical answer that doesn't lend itself well to a brief ET response. Martin Ghoul...

If the flat price directional future is a bit much for you in terms of risk, the calendar spread is a reasonable alternative. The spread has quite a bit of delta directional risk these days - in other words, it moves directionally with the flat price future, and this is not always the case...

Swan, your STD compulsion aside, please provide a specific example where a regulated US FCM did not return segregated funds to a US citizen. § 1.24 Segregated funds; exclusions therefrom. Money held in a segregated account by a futures commission merchant shall not include: (a) Money...

Ummm, for these kinds of macro predictions, you need to be using Daily bars. A good hard peek at the Weekly would be a good idea as well.

"Also, until we reach new ATHs this is as much a real "bull market" as the 2004-2007 market was." And like timing a high in those markets without technical confirmation, you would have run out of capital long before the market turned your way. If you think the S&P is at a high right here...

How much do you suppose the left wants? 75% ? 90 % ? They already take half. Fed, State, County, Local. What exactly is fair ? FU I will quit and get on the dole like everyone else. Welfare nanny state. Suicide pact.

"The market won't sell off until it becomes obvious what kind of deep trouble the Chinese bubble(s), US debt levels and a few other issues are going to cause. Timing when it will become obvious it really difficult as it may require some sort of external shock to remove all doubt, however you may...

That stimulus money was a Democratic machine pay-off in-kind for state-approved construction unions (bidders list) and public service union employees of all kinds. They did not lose jobs. The work didn't necessarily get done because as Obama admitted later there were no such things as 'shovel...

All of the shorter duration futures hedge ratios tend to change more severely as the CTD changes. Eurex Schatz a great case in point.

Futures market not playing along.

Well, 40 years ago, the US Federal Gov't and States and Counties did not operate on a deficit basis with the exception of WWII and a few years afterwards. And 40 years ago there were alot more gravel roads than there are now. It's called not spending more money than you are taking in...

I really don't see a technical reason to short silver in here in terms of what IMO I perceive to be adequate risk/reward skew. In other words, the optimum short percentage-wise would be around 2900 after you've printed a couple clear daily closes below the current channel trendline support...

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/02/06/AR2011020602236.html Timely article. I have definitely noticed that correlations are very dynamic past few months in the equity baskets. What was for a long time no longer is. Lots of displacement - much of it very surprising...

Very good article, thanks for the link. Probably dovetails nicely into the observance that ADD/ADHD people are so creative, and at the some time somewhat impulsive.

Great article in Alphaville, pretty much sums it up. Energy in general has always been about the 'path of pain', with Nat Gas, Electricity, and lots of petroleum products where there are recurring circumstances where basis and carry costs are over-ridden in a big way. When you look at...

trailing stops.