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I certainly don't use IB charts. I was thinking maybe there was some great piece of the setup that I'm missing. I would try to get a chart of a certain index or underlying and just do something simple...like a month or something...I couldn't do it. I've never had another issue with any other...

Taleb stipulated that? How are fat tails underpriced? An even better question...how did you register five years ago and only have one post?

Very interesting. I will have to track this down and read it. I don't always agree with Soros, but he is a smart fellow and I do enjoy reading what he shares. Thanks for the info.

8.3B in E-Minis? That's a lot of mini's.

Why does the Fed need to COMPLETELY exit? Why not maintain a higher balance sheet as the new norm? People here ask how/why the Fed allowed the housing bubble to get so large. The answer is that there was nothing they could have done to prevent it. If you have a larger balance sheet with...

http://seekingalpha.com/article/97944-emulate-sweden-not-japan http://www.fourwinds10.net/siterun_data/business/economy/news.php?q=1232657388 A bit dated perhaps, but still relevant points.

Sweden, not Japan. China has massive mining operations all over Africa. I have friends that visit Addis Ababa from time to time and witness the efforts firsthand. Essentially the Chinese arrive and offer to build infrastructure for the local gov't (for very cheap or free) in return for mining...

My javaw.exe is showing 247,840. I'm also running the oldest version that I'm allowed to run...Build 921.5.

Glad to see this discussion got back on track. Mr. Tao is clearly confused on many fronts. I disagree that the bubble was intentionally created. There were a series of events that benefited from fortuitous timing, coupled with some technology and basic fear and greed...and it all came...

He doesn't acknowledge that the cash is NOT getting into the money supply. The bill/note/bond expires and you either roll into a new one or take the cash. It is that simple. Who cares how big the balance sheet becomes, as long as the money supply IN CIRCULATION hasn't increased...

I wonder if he had done this before. And I wonder how often this happens on Wall St.

Years ago, maybe they would have. It's insane how much money flows through that city nowadays. When the GOP recently had control, they spent like drunken sailors. You can't look to the GOP as the party that spends responsibly any more. The Dems have convinced the country that the GOP wants to...

As another poster mentioned, these are bills, notes and bonds....with expirations. You guys ever buy a bond? You know what happens when it matures, right? Tell me why it matters that the Fed is doing this. The Fed buys the bonds, earns interest from the Treasury then pays it back to the...

True, I forgot the gov't stopped. I've been following it, but I guess it's a non-gov't entity that is putting out the numbers. M3 gets institutional money funds and repo's over and above M2. I think it's odd that they stopped tracking it. I don't share the conspiracy theories of many around...

I think it's worth mentioning that much depends on the strategy being used by each trader. For some methods, you can systemically move from trade to trade, others may benefit from Theta decay etc...

I dumped eSignal years ago. I guess I'm not surprised to hear that nothing has changed over there.

I think M3 better reflects the balance sheet expansion.

Not true. When did I say this is anything like TARP? The only similarity is that it's a gov't program designed to stabilize the economy and start things growing again. That one made money and worked pretty well. So why are so many people angry about the Fed doing what it's doing? The FED...

Carnival barking and drooling won't get it done...is that what you've been doing since 2008 on this topic? Four years is nothing. Study some history and you'll see periods of 20-30 years or more where the US economy went nowhere, nor did the markets. You act like this giant real estate...

All of it is temporary assuming spending is brought under control at some point. Everybody lost their minds over TARP. When it was all said and done, the gov't made billions on the deal. The huge profit margin barely got any media play. Nobody notices when this kinda stuff goes really...